Concerned-Cylinder
0xfda576923db278290d7e989944d1026ba7fd966c
Wallet digest
Activity score
37/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
192
Open notional
$4.16
Total PnL
$-8.8K
Realised
$-152.53
Win rate
0%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 192- YES
Will South African inflation be between 2.9% and 3.2% in 2026?
4 shares @ 25.0¢·now 39.0¢·exp Jan 20, 2027$1.56
$0.56
- YES
Will South African inflation be less than 2.6% in 2026?
4 shares @ 27.0¢·now 33.8¢·exp Jan 20, 2027$1.25
$0.25
- YES
Will South African inflation be between 3.2% and 3.5% in 2026?
3 shares @ 35.0¢·now 30.2¢·exp Jan 20, 2027$0.86
$-0.14
- YES
Will South African inflation be greater than 5.0% in 2026?
3 shares @ 34.0¢·now 16.4¢·exp Jan 20, 2027$0.48
$-0.52
- 76ERS
Knicks vs. 76ers
12000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 24, 2026$0.00
$-12.00
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - January 26, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET
9146 shares @ 48.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 26, 2026$0.00
$-4.4K
- YES
Will Leicester City FC win on 2026-02-21?
2820 shares @ 81.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 21, 2026$0.00
$-2.3K
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 24, 6PM ET
2159 shares @ 17.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 25, 2026$0.00
$-386.62
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 10, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET
1013 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 10, 2026$0.00
$-10.13
- YES
Will Trump nominate Arthur Laffer as the next Fed chair?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 21, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET$0.00Feb 21, 19:24 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 21, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET$0.00Feb 21, 19:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 21, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET$161.19Feb 21, 19:19 UTC
- TRADESELLWill BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-02-21?$0.79Feb 21, 19:19 UTC
- TRADESELLWill RB Leipzig vs. BV Borussia 09 Dortmund end in a draw?$5.50Feb 21, 19:18 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 21, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET$111.61Feb 21, 19:18 UTC
- TRADESELLWill AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-02-21?$16.22Feb 21, 19:18 UTC
- TRADESELLWill West Ham United FC win on 2026-02-21?$27.07Feb 21, 19:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 21, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET$97.58Feb 21, 19:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 21, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET$10.00Feb 21, 19:13 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 21, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET$0.00Feb 21, 19:11 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - February 21, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET$95.65Feb 21, 19:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill GitLab be acquired before 2027?$0.45Feb 21, 19:10 UTC
- TRADESELLQatar Open: Carlos Alcaraz vs Arthur Fils$11.48Feb 21, 19:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 21, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET$86.84Feb 21, 19:07 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - February 21, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET$86.84Feb 21, 19:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 21, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET$84.25Feb 21, 19:04 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 21, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET$84.25Feb 21, 19:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 21, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET$63.27Feb 21, 18:59 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 21, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET$0.00Feb 21, 18:58 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 39
- Avg trade size
- $37.02
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 21, 17:50 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 21, 19:24 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.