Fumbling-Liner
0xfdb489966be4207497e3e4be69081cd01999c07f
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
29
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-56.66
Realised
$-4.21
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 29- YES
Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from February 13 to February 20, 2026?
2000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 20, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?
2000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 10, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 21 to October 28, 2025?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 28, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from December 16 to December 23, 2025?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 23, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 4AM ET
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 9, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from December 23 to December 30, 2025?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 30, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 21 to October 28, 2025?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 28, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from December 26 to January 2, 2026?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 2, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from February 17 to February 24, 2026?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 24, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from November 4 to November 11, 2025?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 11, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Scotland win on 2026-06-13? AND Will Brazil win on 2026-06-19? AND Will Spain win on 2026-06-15? AND Will Germany win on 2026-06-14? AND Will Portugal win on 2026-06-23? AND Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13?$5.09Jun 13, 08:52 UTC
- REDEEMWill United States win on 2026-06-12?$15.22Jun 13, 05:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill United States win on 2026-06-12?$7.11Jun 12, 20:18 UTC
- TRADESELLMasoud Pezeshkian out by June 30?$7.30Jun 12, 20:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Canada win on 2026-06-12?$1.82Jun 12, 10:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Canada win on 2026-06-12?$0.96Jun 12, 10:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Canada win on 2026-06-12?$1.01Jun 12, 10:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill Mexico win on 2026-06-11?$1.79Jun 12, 10:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mexico win on 2026-06-11?$1.26Jun 11, 14:27 UTC
- TRADESELLMasoud Pezeshkian out by December 31?$1.05Jun 11, 14:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?$1.02May 30, 14:46 UTC
- TRADESELLMasoud Pezeshkian out by June 30?$1.04May 30, 14:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYMasoud Pezeshkian out by December 31?$1.03May 24, 10:08 UTC
- TRADESELLWill there be 8 or fewer earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?$1.00May 24, 10:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be 8 or fewer earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?$1.00May 6, 08:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYMasoud Pezeshkian out by June 30?$57.79Apr 6, 07:44 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?$59.09Apr 6, 07:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?$126.07Mar 11, 09:17 UTC
- REDEEMKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?$286.31Mar 10, 20:37 UTC
- REWARD$3.50Mar 1, 00:16 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 40
- Avg trade size
- $27.08
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 24, 11:16 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 13, 08:52 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.