Soft-Fork
0xfdba2ef4cd70e3258d2f43c38cbc5f04991e36c4
Wallet digest
Activity score
85/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
19
Open notional
$21.8K
Total PnL
$-1.5K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 19- NO
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of December?
11324 shares @ 90.4¢·now 91.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$10.4K
$128.07
- NO
Will Ethereum dip to $800 by December 31, 2026?
4310 shares @ 84.1¢·now 89.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$3.9K
$230.77
- NO
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $8,000 by end of December?
2023 shares @ 90.4¢·now 96.4¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.9K
$120.30
- NO
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $7,000 by end of December?
1996 shares @ 86.7¢·now 94.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.9K
$155.67
- NO
Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026?
800 shares @ 78.3¢·now 88.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$708.00
$82.00
- NO
Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 by December 31, 2026?
705 shares @ 86.4¢·now 87.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$616.50
$8.10
- NO
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,500 in July?
606 shares @ 98.7¢·now 99.8¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$604.85
$6.64
- NO
Will Bitcoin dip to $30,000 by December 31, 2026?
500 shares @ 86.0¢·now 91.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$457.50
$27.50
- NO
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,400 in July?
400 shares @ 98.4¢·now 99.9¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$399.40
$5.80
- NO
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $10,000 by end of December?
400 shares @ 93.0¢·now 97.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$387.80
$15.80
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.51Jul 29, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.52Jul 28, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.51Jul 27, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.51Jul 26, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.52Jul 25, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.52Jul 24, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.52Jul 23, 00:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of December?$165.22Jul 22, 07:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.51Jul 22, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.51Jul 21, 20:05 UTC
- YIELD$0.51Jul 21, 00:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $15,000 by end of December?$26.59Jul 20, 09:45 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $15,000 by end of December?$19.00Jul 20, 07:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,400 in July?$67.62Jul 19, 01:23 UTC
- YIELD$0.51Jul 19, 00:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,400 in July?$89.74Jul 18, 10:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,400 in July?$236.24Jul 18, 10:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,500 in July?$6.01Jul 18, 07:42 UTC
- YIELD$0.51Jul 18, 00:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.51Jul 17, 00:12 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
24 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 73/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 24
- Avg trade size
- $424.81
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 10, 08:27 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 29, 00:10 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.