Elastic-Beating
0xfdbfbaf48d242795336c558242a94e95440888ea
Wallet digest
Activity score
47/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
8
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-109.59
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET
1000 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 18, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Connecticut win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?
184 shares @ 13.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 4, 2026$0.00
$-25.00
- YES
Will JD Vance say "Hormuz" during Michigan visit?
53 shares @ 18.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 18, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET
43 shares @ 22.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 18, 2026$0.00
$-9.92
- NO
Will Michigan win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?
38 shares @ 66.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 4, 2026$0.00
$-25.00
- WRIGHT STATE RAIDERS
Wright State Raiders vs. Virginia Cavaliers
37 shares @ 27.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 20, 2026$0.00
$-9.97
- NO
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in April?
36 shares @ 27.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-9.71
- NO
US forces enter Iran by April 30?
24 shares @ 41.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMJimmy Kimmel fired/resigns by May 31?$5.42Jun 1, 11:41 UTC
- REDEEMUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?$14.08May 12, 00:26 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET$9.17May 12, 00:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET$5.00Apr 28, 00:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYJimmy Kimmel fired/resigns by May 31?$5.00Apr 27, 23:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?$10.00Apr 27, 23:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in April?$10.00Apr 24, 06:05 UTC
- REDEEMWill Arizona win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?$34.28Apr 6, 20:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Arizona win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?$22.59Mar 30, 20:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Connecticut win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?$25.00Mar 30, 20:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Michigan win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?$25.00Mar 30, 20:14 UTC
- TRADESELLSpread: Connecticut Huskies (-1.5)$19.89Mar 28, 06:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS forces enter Iran by April 30?$10.00Mar 27, 17:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Connecticut Huskies (-1.5)$10.40Mar 27, 17:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWright State Raiders vs. Virginia Cavaliers$10.00Mar 20, 18:58 UTC
- REDEEMVCU Rams vs. North Carolina Tar Heels$23.16Mar 20, 17:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill JD Vance say "Hormuz" during Michigan visit?$10.00Mar 18, 19:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYVCU Rams vs. North Carolina Tar Heels$10.00Mar 18, 19:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET$10.00Mar 18, 18:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET$10.00Mar 18, 18:00 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 15
- Avg trade size
- $12.86
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 18, 18:00 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 1, 11:41 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".