These-Advantage
0xfddf8e3ebd920550e7f0f38f2d7003a28fccb9c6
Wallet digest
Activity score
65/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
4
Open notional
$38.09
Total PnL
$-19.67
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Bitcoin reach $84,000 May 4-10?
38 shares @ 99.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 11, 2026$38.09
$0.19
- NO
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 46-47°F on April 8?
11 shares @ 89.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 8, 2026$0.00
$-9.95
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 20°C on April 14?
6 shares @ 80.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 14, 2026$0.00
$-4.95
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 21°C on April 14?
6 shares @ 85.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 14, 2026$0.00
$-4.96
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $84,000 May 4-10?$37.91May 11, 01:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in London be 13°C on April 26?$11.01May 11, 01:11 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin dip to $64,000 April 20-26?$13.01May 11, 01:11 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $86,000 April 20-26?$14.03May 11, 01:11 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $88,000 April 20-26?$19.02May 11, 01:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 13°C on April 26?$11.00Apr 25, 08:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $64,000 April 20-26?$13.00Apr 25, 08:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $86,000 April 20-26?$14.00Apr 25, 08:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $88,000 April 20-26?$19.00Apr 25, 08:45 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Jakarta be 35°C on April 14?$10.42Apr 25, 08:43 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Madrid be 18°C on April 14?$12.02Apr 25, 08:43 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Chengdu be 28°C on April 14?$12.02Apr 25, 08:43 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Denver be between 52-53°F on April 14?$12.02Apr 25, 08:43 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 64-65°F on April 14?$12.07Apr 25, 08:43 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Chongqing be 22°C on April 14?$12.36Apr 25, 08:43 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Chongqing be 23°C on April 14?$13.02Apr 25, 08:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Jakarta be 35°C on April 14?$10.37Apr 14, 08:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 64-65°F on April 14?$12.00Apr 14, 08:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Denver be between 52-53°F on April 14?$12.00Apr 14, 08:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Madrid be 18°C on April 14?$12.00Apr 14, 08:00 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
26 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 74/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 26
- Avg trade size
- $11.61
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 8, 08:24 UTC
- Last active
- May 11, 01:14 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.