Ornate-Patio
0xfdf3c0af3b50b11cab3334042a54606a5fdb68ae
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
20
Open notional
$3.1K
Total PnL
$111.06
Realised
$95.76
Win rate
75%
4 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 20- YES
Will Colombia advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
1680 shares @ 89.6¢·now 91.5¢·exp Jun 28, 2026$1.5K
$31.94
- NO
Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
1393 shares @ 84.8¢·now 88.5¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$1.2K
$51.18
- YES
Will voter turnout be 57-60% in the first round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
102 shares @ 98.4¢·now 97.7¢·exp May 31, 2026$99.24
$-0.76
- YES
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election by 10-15%?
333 shares @ 17.0¢·now 20.0¢·exp Jun 22, 2026$66.59
$9.99
- YES
Cuban regime falls in 2026?
292 shares @ 23.4¢·now 21.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$61.28
$-7.08
- NO
Will DR Congo advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
100 shares @ 58.0¢·now 58.5¢·exp Jun 28, 2026$58.50
$0.50
- NO
Will the Central Bank of Colombia announce an increase at the June meeting?
66 shares @ 14.0¢·now 19.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$12.88
$3.63
- YES
Will Iván Cepeda Castro place 1st in Bogotá in the second round of the 2026 Colombia presidential election?
16 shares @ 54.0¢·now 56.5¢·exp Jun 22, 2026$9.13
$0.40
- YES
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?
11 shares @ 28.0¢·now 21.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.44
$-0.74
- YES
Will Abelardo de la Espriella & Paloma Valencia advance to the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
3444 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-3.44
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Türkiye win on 2026-06-14?$34.88Jun 14, 07:59 UTC
- REDEEMWill Scotland win on 2026-06-13?$1.59Jun 14, 05:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Türkiye win on 2026-06-14?$30.13Jun 14, 05:20 UTC
- REWARD$4.65Jun 14, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw?$10.22Jun 13, 23:56 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Brazil win on 2026-06-13?$21.48Jun 13, 23:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Brazil win on 2026-06-13?$50.63Jun 13, 22:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill claude-opus-4-6-thinking be the best AI model on June 13, 2026?$60.00Jun 13, 19:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iván Cepeda Castro place 1st in Bogotá in the second round of the 2026 Colombia presidential election?$8.73Jun 13, 17:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Central Bank of Colombia announce an increase at the June meeting?$9.64Jun 13, 14:42 UTC
- REWARD$2.83Jun 13, 00:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Iván Cepeda Castro place 1st in Bogotá in the second round of the 2026 Colombia presidential election?$404.55Jun 12, 22:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? AND Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12?$10.24Jun 12, 16:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Abelardo de la Espriella win the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election by 10-15%?$49.70Jun 12, 15:36 UTC
- REDEEMWill Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11?$2.70Jun 12, 06:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iván Cepeda Castro place 1st in Bogotá in the second round of the 2026 Colombia presidential election?$194.37Jun 11, 22:44 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Mexico win on 2026-06-11?$191.35Jun 11, 20:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill claude-opus-4-6-thinking be the best AI model on June 13, 2026?$50.37Jun 11, 13:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill voter turnout be 57-60% in the first round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$100.06Jun 11, 13:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Abelardo de la Espriella win the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election by 10-15%?$8.78Jun 11, 13:38 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 43
- Avg trade size
- $135.50
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 4, 02:20 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 14, 07:59 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.