Will the Central Bank of Colombia announce an increase at the June meeting?
Probability
76¢
1h
+0.0pp
24h
+0.0pp
24h Vol
$0.00
Liquidity
$695.42
Probability (last 7 days)
+2.0pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 2 factors- 1
Resolution-risk signal firing
Expires in 1571h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 2
Wide spread — 11.0¢
Bid-ask spread is wide enough that intraday moves overstate any tradeable edge. Most of the headline pp move would be eaten by spread on a market order.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
AI prose summary
Prose narration of the same metrics shown in the structured breakdown above. Cites only the market data on this page — no news, no predictions. Use the structured factors as the canonical answer; this is here for readability.
Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves
- 0s agoResolveLOW
Market resolves in 1571.0h
- 12:57SignalLOW
Signal · Resolution risk
Expires in 1571h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 02:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 3.5pp
to 76¢
- 00:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 3.0pp
to 76¢
- 22:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 7.0pp
to 76¢
- 19:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 3.0pp
to 76¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -5.0pp
to 76¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.0pp
to 76¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 4.0pp
to 76¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 6.0pp
to 76¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 4.5pp
to 76¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 5.5pp
to 76¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 4.5pp
to 76¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 7.0pp
to 76¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 5.0pp
to 75¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 4.5pp
to 74¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 5.5pp
to 75¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 4.0pp
to 75¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 9.0pp
to 74¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 5.0pp
to 77¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 6.5pp
to 77¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 5.5pp
to 75¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 7.0pp
to 76¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 5.5pp
to 76¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 6.0pp
to 77¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 9.0pp
to 78¢
- 3d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 8.5pp
to 78¢
- 3d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 4.0pp
to 75¢
- 3d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 4.0pp
to 75¢
- 3d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 7.0pp
to 76¢
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
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Market Description
This market will resolve according to the change in the target for the monetary policy rate as a result of the Central Bank of Colombia's June 2026 meeting versus the level it was prior to this meeting. The resolution source for this market is information released by the Central Bank of Colombia after its June 30, 2026 policy meeting, as listed on the official Central Bank of Colombia calendar: https://www.banrep.gov.co/es/calendario-eventos. This market may resolve as soon as the Central Bank of Colombia's statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
Resolution & Risk
LOW risk- End date
- Jun 30, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- Not specified in metadata
- Market type
- Multi-outcome (neg-risk)
- Part of a multi-outcome event (neg-risk): only one market can resolve YES.
- Wide spread (11.0¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Alerts
In-app banners work now. Email / Telegram / Discord delivery lands when the backend alert dispatcher ships (needs RESEND_API_KEY + per-user webhook storage).