Enchanted-Management
0xfe140d9eac2a1565349ac7ea3405749efd011a10
Wallet digest
Activity score
60/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
39
Open notional
$272.63
Total PnL
$-775.23
Realised
$-174.91
Win rate
14%
7 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 39- YES
Trump out as President before 2027?
2656 shares @ 9.8¢·now 7.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$199.21
$-62.44
- YES
Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
1205 shares @ 2.5¢·now 4.4¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$53.03
$22.53
- YES
Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
1884 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.9¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$17.89
$-2.83
- YES
Will Trump pardon SBF by July 31?
1000 shares @ 2.4¢·now 0.3¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$2.50
$-21.50
- YES
Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
4580 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$0.00
$-30.37
- YES
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
3313 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$0.00
$-24.19
- YES
Will Puerto Rico win the 2026 World Baseball Classic?
460 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 17, 2026$0.00
$-3.77
- YES
Will Moonshot be accused of insider trading?
370 shares @ 2.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-9.99
- YES
Netanyahu out by March 31?
350 shares @ 5.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-20.08
- YES
Will Patrick Reed win the 2026 Masters tournament?
330 shares @ 5.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 13, 2026$0.00
$-19.14
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.00Jul 29, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 28, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 27, 00:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?$5.19Jul 26, 04:19 UTC
- TRADESELLTrump out as President before 2027?$6.00Jul 26, 04:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Thomas Massie win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$21.54Jul 26, 04:13 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Thomas Massie win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$21.47Jul 26, 04:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Thomas Massie win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$27.12Jul 26, 04:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?$14.86Jul 20, 22:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?$0.15Jul 20, 17:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?$10.89Jul 20, 17:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?$76.71Jul 19, 06:22 UTC
- TRADESELLWill LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?$29.46Jul 19, 05:50 UTC
- TRADESELLWill María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by July 31?$49.39Jul 19, 05:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?$49.89Jul 6, 05:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?$11.50Jul 6, 05:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by July 31?$5.54Jul 6, 05:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump pardon SBF by July 31?$0.96Jul 3, 20:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump pardon SBF by July 31?$0.03Jul 3, 20:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump pardon SBF by July 31?$0.03Jul 3, 20:24 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
19/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
14% win rate over 7 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
47 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 69/100.
7 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $19.40
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 22, 06:42 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 29, 00:11 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 7 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.