Expensive-Grabbag
0xfe2790a266e7370ee23a3ccfc445f8ce9bb48ddc
Wallet digest
Activity score
60/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
33
Open notional
$10.17
Total PnL
$-29.00
Realised
$-0.87
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 33- ODD
Map 1: Odd/Even Total Kills?
2 shares @ 51.0¢·now 50.0¢·exp May 22, 2026$0.98
$-0.02
- NO
Another 7.0 or above earthquake by May 30, 2026?
1 shares @ 76.0¢·now 71.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.94
$-0.06
- YES
Will there be exactly 2 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruptions worldwide in 2026?
20 shares @ 4.9¢·now 4.6¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.94
$-0.06
- YES
Will there be between 8 and 10 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?
14 shares @ 7.1¢·now 6.7¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.94
$-0.06
- YES
Will there be between 11 and 13 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?
3 shares @ 30.0¢·now 28.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.93
$-0.07
- YES
Hantavirus lab leak confirmed by June 30?
63 shares @ 1.6¢·now 1.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.91
$-0.09
- DALLAS FUEL
Overwatch: Dallas Fuel vs Crazy Raccoon (BO2) - OCS Champions Clash Playoffs
5 shares @ 22.0¢·now 18.0¢·exp May 22, 2026$0.82
$-0.18
- GIO JANG
ITF Changwon: Anchisa Chanta vs Gio Jang
12 shares @ 8.3¢·now 6.5¢·exp May 29, 2026$0.79
$-0.21
- YES
Will there be between 5 and 7 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?
50 shares @ 2.0¢·now 1.6¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.77
$-0.23
- ALL GAMERS
Overwatch: Twisted Minds vs All Gamers (BO2) - OCS Champions Clash Playoffs
20 shares @ 4.9¢·now 3.5¢·exp May 22, 2026$0.71
$-0.29
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 22, 2026?$1.04May 22, 04:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYHantavirus lab leak confirmed by June 30?$1.05May 22, 04:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be exactly 2 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruptions worldwide in 2026?$1.05May 22, 04:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYAnother 7.0 or above earthquake by May 30, 2026?$1.01May 22, 04:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from May 18 - 24?$1.05May 22, 04:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be between 11 and 13 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?$1.00May 22, 03:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be between 8 and 10 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?$1.00May 22, 03:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be between 5 and 7 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?$1.00May 22, 03:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYITF Changwon: Anchisa Chanta vs Gio Jang$1.03May 22, 03:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYOverwatch: Dallas Fuel vs Crazy Raccoon (BO2) - OCS Champions Clash Playoffs$1.02May 22, 03:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYOverwatch: Twisted Minds vs All Gamers (BO2) - OCS Champions Clash Playoffs$1.03May 22, 03:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYMap 1: Odd/Even Total Kills?$1.01May 22, 03:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYLos Angeles Sparks vs. Phoenix Mercury: O/U 177.5$1.03May 22, 03:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Club Alianza Atlético win on 2026-05-21?$1.03May 22, 03:07 UTC
- TRADESELLCanadiens vs. Hurricanes$1.17May 22, 03:05 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Racing Club vs. Caracas FC end in a draw?$12.49May 22, 03:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET$1.05May 22, 03:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Barcelona SC win on 2026-05-21?$1.03May 22, 01:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Racing Club vs. Caracas FC end in a draw?$1.03May 22, 01:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYCanadiens vs. Hurricanes$1.00May 22, 01:08 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 45
- Avg trade size
- $1.35
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 15, 04:54 UTC
- Last active
- May 22, 04:13 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".