Oily-Conception
0xfe2f1324fb19699ae8739daef72f85ce7e57d675
Wallet digest
Activity score
66/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
16
Open notional
$42.43
Total PnL
$-176.83
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 16- YES
Trump out as President before 2027?
231 shares @ 17.3¢·now 10.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$24.23
$-15.77
- YES
Trump declares election interference national emergency?
49 shares @ 30.6¢·now 22.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$10.79
$-4.21
- YES
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?
71 shares @ 14.0¢·now 8.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$6.07
$-3.93
- YES
Netanyahu out by June 30?
63 shares @ 16.0¢·now 2.1¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.34
$-8.66
- YES
Netanyahu out by March 31?
455 shares @ 3.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-15.00
- YES
Will the US next strike Iran on March 1, 2026 (ET)?
176 shares @ 2.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Donald Trump be the first leader out in 2025?
164 shares @ 6.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?
113 shares @ 21.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$0.00
$-24.72
- YES
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?
53 shares @ 37.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Israel strike on Iran on June 30?
53 shares @ 19.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYNetanyahu out by March 31?$10.00Mar 18, 17:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYNetanyahu out by March 31?$5.00Mar 17, 16:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYNetanyahu out by June 30?$10.00Mar 17, 16:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump out as President before 2027?$20.00Mar 3, 19:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump out as President before 2027?$10.00Mar 3, 14:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump declares election interference national emergency? $10.00Mar 1, 16:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by March 31?$10.00Feb 28, 20:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYKhamenei seen in public by March 14?$5.00Feb 28, 20:24 UTC
- TRADESELLKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?$52.97Feb 28, 20:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by March 31?$10.00Feb 28, 19:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump declares election interference national emergency? $5.00Feb 28, 12:59 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET$0.00Feb 28, 09:43 UTC
- REDEEMUS strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?$0.00Feb 28, 09:43 UTC
- REDEEMUS strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?$0.00Feb 28, 09:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET$1.00Feb 28, 09:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?$20.00Feb 28, 09:35 UTC
- REDEEMUS strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?$0.00Feb 28, 09:34 UTC
- REDEEMUS strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?$40.00Feb 28, 09:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?$5.00Feb 28, 09:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US next strike Iran on March 1, 2026 (ET)?$5.00Feb 19, 20:38 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 26
- Avg trade size
- $11.86
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 19, 06:42 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 18, 17:41 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".