Immense-Hacienda
0xfe3b663c38ea35a94bf20905210bb3cf943fae48
Wallet digest
Activity score
58/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
76
Open notional
$108.21
Total PnL
$-517.66
Realised
$-3.33
Win rate
20%
5 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 76- NO
Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
57 shares @ 87.0¢·now 86.6¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$49.77
$-0.23
- ALEX PEREIRA
UFC Freedom 250: Ciryl Gane vs. Alex Pereira (Heavyweight, Main Card)
29 shares @ 51.0¢·now 50.5¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$14.85
$-0.15
- NO
Will Lula announce the nomination of an individual for Minister of the Supreme Federal Court of Brazil by December 31?
56 shares @ 18.0¢·now 24.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$13.61
$3.61
- YES
Will George Russell win the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand Prix?
18 shares @ 56.0¢·now 55.5¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$9.91
$-0.09
- YES
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-19?
21 shares @ 48.0¢·now 47.5¢·exp Jun 20, 2026$9.90
$-0.10
- NO
Will Neymar play in the World Cup?
36 shares @ 14.0¢·now 11.5¢·exp Jul 19, 2026$4.11
$-0.90
- YES
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
259 shares @ 3.9¢·now 1.2¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$3.10
$-6.90
- YES
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 21°C on June 14?
13 shares @ 37.4¢·now 22.0¢·exp Jun 14, 2026$2.94
$-2.06
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 14°C on June 14?
38 shares @ 9.7¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jun 14, 2026$0.02
$-3.63
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 25°C on June 7?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on June 14?$9.54Jun 14, 05:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C on June 14?$2.52Jun 14, 05:09 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C on June 14?$16.50Jun 14, 05:09 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C on June 14?$36.08Jun 14, 05:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Türkiye win on 2026-06-19?$10.16Jun 14, 04:31 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Warsaw be 16°C on June 14?$18.92Jun 14, 04:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Toronto be 24°C on June 14?$29.88Jun 14, 04:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Toronto be 25°C on June 14?$5.48Jun 14, 04:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Toronto be 25°C on June 14?$10.41Jun 14, 03:35 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Toronto be 23°C on June 14?$14.47Jun 14, 03:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Toronto be 24°C on June 14?$10.36Jun 14, 03:10 UTC
- TRADESELLSpread: Spurs (-5.5)$15.09Jun 14, 03:09 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Toronto be 22°C on June 14?$10.07Jun 14, 01:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Spurs (-5.5)$10.15Jun 14, 00:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Warsaw be 14°C on June 14?$3.81Jun 14, 00:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Warsaw be 16°C on June 14?$20.43Jun 14, 00:13 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on June 14?$19.26Jun 14, 00:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Brazil win on 2026-06-13?$16.03Jun 13, 23:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C on June 14?$4.00Jun 13, 23:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Brazil win on 2026-06-13?$10.17Jun 13, 18:20 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $13.29
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 10, 20:04 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 14, 05:10 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 5 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.