Good-Cook
0xfe3f69dfd1ffd2ab7eff11f08c64bc636660abe7
Wallet digest
Activity score
62/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$224.59
Total PnL
$-8.7K
Realised
$-32.80
Win rate
20%
5 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
Israel closes its airspace by July 31?
417 shares @ 12.0¢·now 22.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$93.75
$43.75
- YES
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
250 shares @ 20.0¢·now 27.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$68.75
$18.75
- YES
Iran invades Kuwait by August 31?
526 shares @ 3.8¢·now 5.1¢·exp Aug 31, 2026$26.58
$6.58
- NO
Will Elon Musk be richest person on December 31?
448 shares @ 6.7¢·now 5.9¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$26.45
$-3.55
- YES
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 24?
342 shares @ 11.1¢·now 2.6¢·exp Jul 24, 2026$9.06
$-28.94
- RED WINGS
Red Wings vs. Stars
10000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 15, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- MAVERICKS
Cavaliers vs. Mavericks
4094 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 13, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on March 16?
3334 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 16, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on June 18?
2866 shares @ 1.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 18, 2026$0.00
$-50.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET
2813 shares @ 1.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 16, 2026$0.00
$-50.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $67,500 in July?$42.13Jul 21, 19:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET$10.61Jul 21, 19:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET$10.66Jul 21, 19:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET$10.68Jul 21, 19:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET$10.64Jul 21, 18:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael military action against Yemen by July 31?$20.00Jul 21, 18:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through July 22?$20.00Jul 21, 18:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET$10.68Jul 21, 18:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET$10.64Jul 21, 18:43 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET$0.00Jul 21, 18:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET$1.07Jul 21, 18:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET$10.65Jul 21, 18:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET$10.64Jul 21, 18:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET$10.63Jul 21, 18:27 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET$109.91Jul 21, 18:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET$10.64Jul 21, 18:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran invades Kuwait by August 31?$20.00Jul 21, 17:37 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026?$201.39Jul 21, 16:00 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 20, 00:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$6.96Jul 19, 13:58 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
16/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
20% win rate over 5 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
46 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 61/100.
5 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $18.51
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 19, 01:10 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 21, 19:58 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 5 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.