0xfe45334c43eacbcdd90cbb06a33fbfc1d3fec5ed
0xfe45334c43eacbcdd90cbb06a33fbfc1d3fec5ed
Wallet digest
Activity score
61/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
7
Open notional
$10.84
Total PnL
$-2.11
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Trump say "Golf" or "Golfer" during tribute to Lindsey Graham?
3 shares @ 69.0¢·now 99.7¢·exp Jul 28, 2026$2.83
$0.87
- NO
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $61 Week of July 27 2026?
3 shares @ 61.0¢·now 70.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$2.29
$0.31
- YES
Will Waystar (WAY) beat quarterly earnings?
3 shares @ 77.0¢·now 75.5¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$1.91
$-0.04
- NO
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
8 shares @ 24.9¢·now 23.5¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$1.89
$-0.11
- YES
Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?
3 shares @ 50.0¢·now 49.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$1.51
$-0.02
- YES
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 29?
3 shares @ 50.0¢·now 12.9¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$0.39
$-1.14
- NO
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 26?
9 shares @ 22.0¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jul 26, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?$1.57Jul 28, 20:48 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Job" 20+ times during Michigan remarks?$0.00Jul 28, 02:27 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Steel" during Michigan remarks?$0.00Jul 28, 02:27 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Toyota" during Michigan remarks?$2.03Jul 28, 02:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $61 Week of July 27 2026?$2.01Jul 27, 22:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Job" 20+ times during Michigan remarks?$1.98Jul 27, 14:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Toyota" during Michigan remarks?$1.40Jul 27, 01:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Steel" during Michigan remarks?$2.02Jul 26, 13:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Waystar (WAY) beat quarterly earnings?$1.97Jul 26, 01:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Golf" or "Golfer" during tribute to Lindsey Graham?$1.98Jul 25, 13:34 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Shots fired" or "Shots will be fired" during White House Correspondents Dinner?$2.02Jul 25, 07:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through July 26?$2.00Jul 25, 01:32 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from July 23 to July 25, 2026?$0.00Jul 25, 00:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Shots fired" or "Shots will be fired" during White House Correspondents Dinner?$1.63Jul 24, 13:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran military action against a Gulf State on July 29?$1.53Jul 24, 01:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from July 23 to July 25, 2026?$1.45Jul 23, 13:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?$2.08Jul 23, 01:28 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
12 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 50/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 12
- Avg trade size
- $1.80
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 23, 01:28 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 28, 20:48 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.