Thankful-Gallon
0xfe462bfc4d6a45bfc7bf678f4acc7c2c4adfcb39
Wallet digest
Activity score
60/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
41
Open notional
$46.38
Total PnL
$-281.94
Realised
$-14.46
Win rate
33%
9 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 41- NO
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?
36 shares @ 69.9¢·now 67.2¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$24.10
$-0.98
- NO
Will Vitality win IEM Cologne Major 2026?
20 shares @ 63.0¢·now 60.5¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$12.00
$-0.50
- NO
Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by June 30?
8 shares @ 65.0¢·now 69.5¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$5.35
$0.35
- NO
Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in June?
6 shares @ 84.0¢·now 73.5¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$4.37
$-0.63
- YES
Ukraine election held by December 31, 2026?
4 shares @ 28.7¢·now 12.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.54
$-0.70
- YES
NATO/EU troops fighting in Ukraine in June 30, 2026?
1 shares @ 5.1¢·now 0.8¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.01
$-0.05
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 21°C on April 24?
14248 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 24, 2026$0.00
$-69.11
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 20°C on April 24?
4751 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 24, 2026$0.00
$-9.50
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 13°C or below on April 24?
2863 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 24, 2026$0.00
$-5.73
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C or below on April 25?
1038 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 25, 2026$0.00
$-7.16
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?$25.00Jun 14, 00:08 UTC
- TRADESELLWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in June?$0.11Jun 13, 16:38 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in June?$0.11Jun 13, 16:38 UTC
- TRADESELLWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in June?$0.14Jun 13, 16:38 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of June?$0.13Jun 13, 16:38 UTC
- TRADESELLWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in June?$0.14Jun 13, 16:38 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ralph Norman win the 2026 South Carolina Governor Republican primary election?$15.78Jun 13, 16:37 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin reach $67,500 in June?$6.98Jun 13, 14:36 UTC
- TRADESELLIran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by July 31, 2026?$12.85Jun 13, 12:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by June 30?$5.07Jun 13, 11:28 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of XRP be above $1.20 on June 12?$0.12Jun 13, 01:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Vitality win IEM Cologne Major 2026?$12.64Jun 13, 00:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by July 31, 2026?$12.50Jun 13, 00:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?$9.23Jun 12, 18:22 UTC
- TRADESELLStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?$4.66Jun 12, 18:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?$10.00Jun 12, 17:05 UTC
- TRADESELLWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in June?$26.92Jun 12, 16:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?$5.00Jun 12, 14:51 UTC
- TRADESELLWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in June?$6.27Jun 12, 13:40 UTC
- TRADESELLWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in June?$28.84Jun 12, 13:37 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 45
- Avg trade size
- $10.70
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 7, 06:30 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 14, 00:08 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 9 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.