Our-Length
0xfe468e7d7f28682a61e44a1f6a9514b7f449938b
Wallet digest
Activity score
83/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
108
Open notional
$99.67
Total PnL
$-256.18
Realised
$17.97
Win rate
83%
24 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 108- NO
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
34 shares @ 55.0¢·now 80.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$27.77
$8.80
- YES
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
26 shares @ 73.2¢·now 94.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$24.55
$5.55
- YES
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
32 shares @ 56.5¢·now 76.8¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$24.39
$6.46
- NO
Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026?
48 shares @ 43.0¢·now 48.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$22.95
$2.39
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - March 15, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET
252 shares @ 7.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 15, 2026$0.00
$-17.66
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET
223 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 15, 2026$0.00
$-11.15
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET
203 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 15, 2026$0.00
$-10.14
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - March 15, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET
136 shares @ 8.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 15, 2026$0.00
$-11.94
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - March 15, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET
33 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 15, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET
32 shares @ 14.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 16, 2026$0.00
$-4.69
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?$4.90May 29, 07:22 UTC
- REDEEMInternet Access restored in Iran by May 31, 2026?$7.22May 28, 20:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYInternet Access restored in Iran by May 31, 2026?$5.00May 26, 17:30 UTC
- REDEEMGemini 3.5 released by June 30?$5.10May 19, 20:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?$5.02May 14, 10:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYGemini 3.5 released by June 30?$4.03May 14, 10:34 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 12?$7.31May 13, 18:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 12?$5.69May 7, 14:49 UTC
- TRADESELLRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?$7.61May 7, 12:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?$7.49May 3, 07:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?$10.17May 3, 06:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?$14.16May 3, 06:44 UTC
- TRADESELLWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?$15.52May 3, 06:43 UTC
- TRADESELLKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?$11.42May 3, 06:42 UTC
- TRADESELLWill 25-49 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 27-May 3?$0.70May 3, 06:30 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?$0.18May 3, 06:30 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?$0.03May 3, 06:30 UTC
- TRADESELLWill no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$3.98May 3, 05:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?$11.69May 3, 03:45 UTC
- TRADESELLWill no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$2.19May 3, 03:02 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $10.02
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 2, 18:38 UTC
- Last active
- May 29, 07:22 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 24 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.