Unlucky-Manager
0xfe47d387e8b88a77a97a64a7658589f718643f05
Wallet digest
Activity score
52/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
12
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-0.21
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 12- YES
Will Tim Peterson win the MN-5 Democratic House District?
10 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 13, 2024$0.00
$-0.01
- YES
Trump sentenced to between 36 and 47 months prison time?
5 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 11, 2024$0.00
$-0.05
- YES
Will 'Furiosa: A Mad Max Saga' gross most in 2024?
5 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 29, 2024$0.00
$-0.01
- YES
Will Greg Abbott win the 2024 Republican VP nomination?
5 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 18, 2024$0.00
$-0.01
- YES
Will Bernie Sanders be the 2024 Democratic VP nominee?
5 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 22, 2024$0.00
$-0.03
- YES
Will Wesley Hunt win the 2024 Republican VP nomination?
5 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 8, 2024$0.00
$-0.01
- YES
Will Kanye West win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?
5 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-0.01
- YES
Will Keycat reach $1b first?
5 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2024$0.00
$-0.02
- YES
Will Renaissance win the most seats in the National Assembly?
5 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 7, 2024$0.00
$-0.03
- YES
Will HOBBES reach $1b first?
5 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2024$0.00
$-0.01
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill the Pittsburgh Penguins win the 2025 Stanley Cup?$0.91Feb 10, 13:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Pittsburgh Penguins win the 2025 Stanley Cup?$1.06Feb 10, 13:03 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Utah Hockey Club win the 2025 Stanley Cup?$0.88Jan 16, 05:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Utah Hockey Club win the 2025 Stanley Cup?$1.01Jan 16, 05:45 UTC
- REDEEMWill Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2024 Republican Presidential Nomination?$0.00Jan 11, 09:47 UTC
- REDEEMWill Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf be the next President of Iran?$0.00Jan 9, 08:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill another candidate win the San Francisco Mayoral Election?$0.00Jan 9, 08:12 UTC
- REDEEM2024 Balance of Power: R Prez, D Senate, R House$0.00Jan 9, 08:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Kamala Harris be inaugurated?$1.00Jan 8, 06:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kamala Harris be inaugurated?$1.20Jan 8, 06:25 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Kamala Harris be inaugurated?$0.08Jan 8, 06:23 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Kamala Harris be inaugurated?$0.92Jan 8, 06:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kamala Harris be inaugurated?$1.20Jan 8, 06:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tim Peterson win the MN-5 Democratic House District?$0.01Jul 6, 12:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Joe Biden be the 2024 Democratic VP nominee?$0.04Jul 6, 12:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Keycat reach $1b first?$0.02Jul 6, 12:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump sentenced to between 36 and 47 months prison time?$0.05Jul 6, 12:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 'Furiosa: A Mad Max Saga' gross most in 2024?$0.01Jul 6, 12:08 UTC
- TRADEBUY2024 Balance of Power: R Prez, D Senate, R House$0.03Jul 6, 12:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill another candidate win the San Francisco Mayoral Election?$0.04Jul 6, 12:04 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 29
- Avg trade size
- $0.30
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 6, 11:44 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 10, 13:03 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".