Agreeable-Disagreement
0xfe5a72a045e069cf25885d7a4de6fec9bd63ebbd
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
9
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-120.67
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Ethereum reach $3,700 December 29-January 4?
6000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 5, 2026$0.00
$-6.00
- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,700 on January 4?
2370 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 4, 2026$0.00
$-2.37
- YES
Will Ethereum dip to $2,400 December 29-January 4?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 5, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET
66 shares @ 48.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 22, 2026$0.00
$-31.80
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET
38 shares @ 41.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 22, 2026$0.00
$-15.90
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET
35 shares @ 47.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 22, 2026$0.00
$-16.50
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET
34 shares @ 51.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 22, 2026$0.00
$-17.10
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET
30 shares @ 62.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 22, 2026$0.00
$-18.90
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET
16 shares @ 70.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 22, 2026$0.00
$-11.10
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET$17.69Jul 22, 16:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET$17.11Jul 22, 16:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET$16.77Jul 22, 16:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET$16.18Jul 22, 16:02 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET$32.40Jul 22, 16:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET$16.77Jul 22, 15:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET$16.55Jul 22, 15:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET$19.40Jul 22, 15:48 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET$35.45Jul 22, 15:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET$16.17Jul 22, 15:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET$16.21Jul 22, 15:38 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?$1.96Jul 22, 14:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?$2.09Jul 22, 14:37 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET$15.64Jul 22, 14:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET$11.33Jul 22, 14:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET$11.18Jul 22, 14:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,700 on January 4?$2.37Jan 4, 01:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum dip to $2,400 December 29-January 4?$1.00Jan 4, 01:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum reach $3,700 December 29-January 4?$6.00Jan 4, 01:16 UTC
- TRADESELLOver $3M committed to the Infinex public sale?$6.97Jan 4, 01:14 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
30 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 64/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 30
- Avg trade size
- $865.91
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 1, 21:33 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 22, 16:53 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.