Useless-Memo
0xfe5b32537ef196dc509d437b0c499554949485e1
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
26
Open notional
$908.13
Total PnL
$-1.6K
Realised
$-39.46
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 26- YES
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
2808 shares @ 23.7¢·now 23.9¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$672.43
$7.44
- NO
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
464 shares @ 54.0¢·now 36.5¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$169.33
$-81.19
- YES
Will 2026 be the third-hottest year on record?
1540 shares @ 6.5¢·now 1.8¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$28.48
$-71.52
- YES
Will Michelle Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
4445 shares @ 3.9¢·now 0.4¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$20.00
$-152.18
- YES
Will Romeu Zema win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
961 shares @ 10.4¢·now 0.8¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$7.20
$-92.80
- YES
Will Jair Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
649 shares @ 3.1¢·now 1.1¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$6.81
$-13.19
- YES
Will 2026 be the fifth-hottest year on record?
1491 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.1¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.24
$-27.76
- YES
Will 2026 rank as the sixth-hottest year on record or lower?
1081 shares @ 3.7¢·now 0.1¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.62
$-38.38
- YES
Will SpaceX's public ticker be $STAR?
2557 shares @ 4.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$0.00
$-110.00
- NO
Will Trump meet with Elon Musk by March 31?
1376 shares @ 8.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-115.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Michelle Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$178.81Jun 25, 14:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Romeu Zema win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$100.00Apr 26, 21:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$200.00Mar 29, 19:37 UTC
- TRADESELLSpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.4T?$109.44Mar 29, 18:25 UTC
- TRADESELLSpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.4T?$110.74Mar 29, 18:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX's public ticker be $SPACE?$20.00Mar 26, 00:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX's public ticker be $X?$30.00Mar 26, 00:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX's public ticker be $STAR?$30.00Mar 26, 00:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?$100.00Mar 25, 20:28 UTC
- TRADESELLSpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.4T?$50.11Mar 21, 17:02 UTC
- TRADESELLSpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.4T?$79.80Mar 20, 02:33 UTC
- TRADESELLSpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.4T?$116.66Mar 20, 02:26 UTC
- REDEEMWill Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 9?$0.00Mar 8, 23:42 UTC
- REDEEMWill Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 9?$38.46Mar 8, 23:41 UTC
- REDEEMWill Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 8?$0.00Mar 8, 23:41 UTC
- REDEEMWill Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 8?$31.41Mar 8, 23:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 9?$20.00Mar 8, 12:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 8?$10.00Mar 8, 12:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jair Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$20.00Mar 8, 12:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYMiguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by March 31?$30.00Mar 8, 12:03 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 1 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
33 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 74/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 33
- Avg trade size
- $90.74
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 18, 22:13 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 25, 14:36 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.