0xfe66a092ff8be47fa9fe224b00e5b243dc912e62
0xfe66a092ff8be47fa9fe224b00e5b243dc912e62
Wallet digest
Activity score
35/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
53
Open notional
$1.87
Total PnL
$-285.09
Realised
$-15.07
Win rate
0%
52 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 53- YES
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
7 shares @ 68.0¢·now 25.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$1.87
$-3.13
- YES
Will DR Congo win on 2026-07-01?
172 shares @ 29.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$0.00
$-50.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 6, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET
125 shares @ 16.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 6, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-27?
125 shares @ 48.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 27, 2026$0.00
$-60.00
- BRAZIL
T20 World Cup Sub Regional Americas Qualifier: Bahamas vs Brazil
75 shares @ 8.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 2, 2026$0.00
$-6.00
- OVER
Morocco vs. Haiti: O/U 6.5
64 shares @ 15.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 24, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- BRUNO FERNANDEZ
Piracicaba: Nicolas Kicker vs Bruno Fernandez
36 shares @ 16.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 29, 2026$0.00
$-6.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET
33 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 27, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- GUSTAVO ALMEIDA
Piracicaba: Gustavo Almeida vs Paulo Dos Santos
31 shares @ 44.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-14.00
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - June 27, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET
24 shares @ 8.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 27, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - August 20, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET$1.33Aug 20, 10:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 20, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET$1.02Aug 20, 10:03 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - August 20, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET$1.75Aug 20, 08:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 20, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET$1.03Aug 20, 08:27 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - August 17, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET$0.00Aug 17, 13:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 17, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET$0.05Aug 17, 13:24 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Ornn H200 Index be at least $5.50 on October 31, 2026?$0.89Aug 17, 12:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Ornn H200 Index be at least $5.50 on October 31, 2026?$1.03Aug 17, 12:18 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET$24.69Aug 14, 02:41 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET$0.00Aug 14, 02:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET$20.27Aug 14, 02:38 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET$1.12Aug 14, 02:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET$1.03Aug 14, 02:35 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET$0.00Aug 13, 15:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET$1.02Aug 13, 15:15 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET$0.63Aug 13, 13:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET$1.05Aug 13, 13:00 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET$1.01Aug 13, 11:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET$1.00Aug 13, 11:33 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET$1.13Aug 13, 08:06 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
55/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 52 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
36 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 50/100.
52 closed markets, 0% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 36
- Avg trade size
- $2.96
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Aug 9, 11:57 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 20, 10:07 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 52 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.