0xfe8816fa57ff221d83fdbd6c40f5e36d85e790f5
0xfe8816fa57ff221d83fdbd6c40f5e36d85e790f5
Wallet digest
Activity score
34/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
39
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-6.9K
Realised
$-359.39
Win rate
11%
9 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 39- YES
US strikes Iran by January 17, 2026?
11339 shares @ 4.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 17, 2026$0.00
$-489.98
- YES
Iran Strike on Israel by January 31?
6954 shares @ 7.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-536.06
- YES
US strikes Iran by January 18, 2026?
6719 shares @ 2.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 18, 2026$0.00
$-162.99
- YES
US strikes Iran by January 16, 2026?
6239 shares @ 10.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-649.99
- YES
US strikes Iran by January 26, 2026?
4329 shares @ 12.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-523.14
- YES
US strikes Iran by January 15, 2026?
4295 shares @ 25.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 15, 2026$0.00
$-1.1K
- YES
US strikes Iran by January 11, 2026?
3373 shares @ 5.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-200.00
- YES
US strikes Iran by January 14, 2026?
3339 shares @ 15.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 14, 2026$0.00
$-501.67
- YES
Will Israel strike 3 countries in October 2025?
2802 shares @ 3.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$0.00
$-100.00
- NO
Will the US strike Syria next?
2631 shares @ 3.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026?$229.01May 16, 23:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel win Eurovision 2026?$10.47May 16, 22:58 UTC
- TRADESELLWill France win Eurovision 2026?$1.02May 16, 22:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026?$50.75May 16, 22:54 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026?$60.65May 16, 22:47 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Israel win Eurovision 2026?$213.46May 16, 22:45 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Israel win Eurovision 2026?$213.31May 16, 22:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel win Eurovision 2026?$101.25May 16, 22:41 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Greece win Eurovision 2026?$277.66May 16, 22:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026?$101.98May 16, 22:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France win Eurovision 2026?$10.49May 16, 22:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026?$51.70May 16, 22:31 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Australia win Eurovision 2026?$14.73May 16, 22:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel win Eurovision 2026?$401.88May 16, 22:21 UTC
- TRADESELLWill France win Eurovision 2026?$1.60May 16, 22:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Australia win Eurovision 2026?$103.72May 16, 22:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill France win Eurovision 2026?$22.94May 14, 09:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Greece win Eurovision 2026?$248.63May 12, 20:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France win Eurovision 2026?$68.06May 12, 20:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Greece win Eurovision 2026?$503.05May 12, 20:17 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $101.25
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 2, 11:22 UTC
- Last active
- May 16, 23:06 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 9 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".