Insecure-Permit
0xfe91e0360dd99e28a812162eb891ab3176d9509e
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
18
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-1.2K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 18- NO
Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 31?
1025 shares @ 32.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-329.27
- YES
Foreign intervention in Gaza in 2025?
554 shares @ 36.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-200.00
- YES
Israel x Iran ceasefire broken by December 31?
375 shares @ 16.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-60.00
- YES
Will the Government shutdown end November 16 or later?
332 shares @ 15.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 15, 2025$0.00
$-51.50
- YES
Will Kanye visit Israel by December 31?
250 shares @ 8.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will Israel strike Yemen 1 times by October 31?
211 shares @ 12.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$0.00
$-26.00
- NO
Will Israel allow independent journalists into Gaza by December 31?
168 shares @ 29.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-50.00
- YES
Israel banned from Eurovision 2026 by November 30?
158 shares @ 19.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 30, 2025$0.00
$-30.00
- NO
Israel strikes Gaza by October 24?
157 shares @ 22.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 24, 2025$0.00
$-36.00
- YES
Will Andrew Cuomo win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
156 shares @ 6.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by January 16, 2026?$44.61Jan 15, 00:54 UTC
- TRADESELLWill US or Israel strike Iran by January 31, 2026?$44.61Jan 14, 20:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill US or Israel strike Iran by January 31, 2026?$23.42Jan 14, 17:32 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Iranian regime fall by January 31?$23.14Jan 14, 17:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by January 31?$27.00Jan 9, 09:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?$27.00Jan 9, 09:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?$27.00Jan 7, 10:22 UTC
- TRADESELLU.S. forces in Gaza before 2027?$27.28Jan 7, 10:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYHezbollah strike on Israel by December 31?$1.62Dec 20, 14:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump release the Epstein files by December 31?$291.20Dec 18, 18:25 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Netflix close Warner Bros. acquisition by end of 2026? $292.03Dec 16, 20:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Netflix close Warner Bros. acquisition by end of 2026? $235.01Dec 12, 14:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Netflix close Warner Bros. acquisition by end of 2026? $2.20Dec 12, 14:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Netflix close Warner Bros. acquisition by end of 2026? $2.20Dec 12, 14:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Netflix close Warner Bros. acquisition by end of 2026? $11.43Dec 12, 14:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Netflix close Warner Bros. acquisition by end of 2026? $0.95Dec 12, 14:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Netflix close Warner Bros. acquisition by end of 2026? $0.22Dec 12, 14:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Netflix close Warner Bros. acquisition by end of 2026? $5.00Dec 12, 09:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Netflix close Warner Bros. acquisition by end of 2026? $0.16Dec 12, 09:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Netflix close Warner Bros. acquisition by end of 2026? $0.16Dec 12, 09:07 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
49 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 54/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $61.46
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 2, 05:21 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 15, 00:54 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.