Inferior-Tradition
0xfeb1926b7289950959b019fdff61afef872938b8
Wallet digest
Activity score
49/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
12
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-165.00
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 12- YES
Will global temperature increase by between 1.10ºC and 1.14ºC in November 2025?
1323 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 11, 2025$0.00
$-15.00
- YES
Will Trump meet with Zelenskyy by December 5?
429 shares @ 3.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-15.00
- YES
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?
417 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-25.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from December 2 to December 9, 2025?
205 shares @ 5.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 9, 2025$0.00
$-11.00
- YES
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 by December 31, 2025?
75 shares @ 20.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-15.00
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on December 5?
65 shares @ 16.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 5, 2025$0.00
$-11.00
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on December 4?
64 shares @ 23.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 4, 2025$0.00
$-15.00
- YES
US x Venezuela military engagement by December 15?
52 shares @ 29.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 30, 2025$0.00
$-15.00
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on December 4?
38 shares @ 40.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 4, 2025$0.00
$-15.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET
28 shares @ 35.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 29, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.00Jul 1, 00:15 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET$0.00Jul 1, 00:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET$26.73Jul 1, 00:04 UTC
- TRADESELLWill France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$27.18Jun 30, 23:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$3.07Jun 30, 23:55 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET$0.00Jun 29, 20:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET$5.35Jun 29, 20:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET$5.22Jun 29, 19:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET$5.23Jun 29, 19:57 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET$0.00Jun 29, 19:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET$5.85Jun 29, 19:54 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET$0.00Jun 29, 19:51 UTC
- REDEEMWill Brazil win on 2026-06-29?$17.86Jun 29, 19:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET$5.35Jun 29, 19:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET$26.73Jun 29, 19:49 UTC
- REDEEMWill Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by December 31?$14.89Jun 29, 19:07 UTC
- REDEEMUkraine signs peace deal with Russia in 2025?$16.82Jun 29, 19:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Brazil win on 2026-06-29?$10.13Jun 29, 15:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$20.46Jun 29, 15:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from December 2 to December 9, 2025?$11.00Dec 7, 22:32 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
24 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 49/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 24
- Avg trade size
- $13.76
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 1, 15:25 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 1, 00:15 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.