Incredible-Basketball
0xfebcc91f25fb9b3fb1a4cad70d94242685fb3157
Wallet digest
Activity score
49/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
14
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-60.50
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 14- YES
Will Elon Musk post 240+ tweets from January 31 to February 2, 2026?
1000 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 2, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 59°F or higher on December 6?
833 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 6, 2025$0.00
$-2.50
- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on December 20?
750 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 20, 2025$0.00
$-1.50
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from December 5 to December 12, 2025?
640 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 12, 2025$0.00
$-3.20
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $76,000 and $78,000 on March 10?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 10, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C or higher on April 28?
475 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 28, 2026$0.00
$-0.95
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $82,000 and $84,000 on December 27?
400 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 27, 2025$0.00
$-1.20
- YES
Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from April 21 to April 28, 2026?
238 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 28, 2026$0.00
$-0.95
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,700 and $2,800 on December 11?
200 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 11, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in New York City be 60°F or higher on October 29?
143 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 29, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 2?$76.23Jun 2, 18:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 2?$76.02Jun 1, 09:47 UTC
- REDEEMWill Donald Trump post 80-99 Truth Social posts from May 19 to May 26, 2026?$1.00May 26, 23:35 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?$76.08May 26, 21:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump post 80-99 Truth Social posts from May 19 to May 26, 2026?$1.00May 26, 10:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?$76.00May 24, 11:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 19?$76.15May 19, 18:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 19?$76.01May 19, 12:27 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 13?$76.08May 13, 18:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 13?$76.01May 13, 12:57 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be less than $70,000 on May 10?$76.08May 13, 12:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be less than $70,000 on May 10?$76.01May 8, 10:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from April 28 to May 5, 2026?$1.00May 8, 10:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill "The Devil Wears Prada 2" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 90m and 100m?$76.08May 8, 10:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from April 28 to May 5, 2026?$1.00May 3, 10:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "The Devil Wears Prada 2" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 90m and 100m?$76.00May 3, 07:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on April 27?$19.02May 3, 07:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?$57.05May 3, 07:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?$57.00Apr 27, 11:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from April 21 to April 28, 2026?$1.00Apr 27, 11:30 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 26
- Avg trade size
- $59.39
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 13, 11:48 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 2, 18:12 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".