Surprised-Forebear
0xfec4632e3453aa6a0394abe166e5209121c32478
Wallet digest
Activity score
49/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
10
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-28.54
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?
2000 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 8, 2026$0.00
$-4.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on April 30?
1995 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-3.99
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on May 31?
1940 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-3.88
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 14?
1940 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 14, 2026$0.00
$-3.88
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 16?
1615 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$0.00
$-3.23
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?
1580 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 2, 2026$0.00
$-3.16
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on April 22?
999 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 22, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $98,000 on December 9?
600 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 9, 2025$0.00
$-1.20
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $100,000 on January 11?
600 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 11, 2026$0.00
$-1.20
- YES
Will Bitcoin dip to $90k in October?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 1, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on June 2?$103.10Jun 2, 18:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on June 2?$103.01Jun 2, 02:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?$3.32Jun 2, 02:03 UTC
- REDEEMRussia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by May 31, 2026?$106.11Jun 1, 12:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by May 31, 2026?$106.00May 30, 06:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on May 31?$4.15May 30, 06:49 UTC
- REDEEMIran closes its airspace by May 24?$110.11May 27, 03:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran closes its airspace by May 24?$110.00May 27, 02:59 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?$110.11May 25, 10:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?$110.01May 23, 03:15 UTC
- REDEEMUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?$110.12May 16, 06:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?$110.00May 15, 10:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 16?$3.46May 15, 10:38 UTC
- REDEEMWill Donald Trump visit China on May 13, 2026?$113.34May 13, 14:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump visit China on May 13, 2026?$113.00May 13, 08:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 14?$4.15May 13, 08:56 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?$117.12May 12, 19:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?$117.01May 11, 03:30 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on May 8?$117.12May 11, 03:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on May 8?$117.01May 7, 08:47 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 27
- Avg trade size
- $60.60
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 7, 07:56 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 2, 18:06 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".