Thorny-Hardship
0xfed16f19166b6646596af1194b00efc20c0c814b
Wallet digest
Activity score
58/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
8
Open notional
$5.00
Total PnL
$-2.5K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?
5 shares @ 33.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 27, 2026$5.00
$3.35
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 0-19 tweets from December 2 to December 9, 2025?
12087 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 9, 2025$0.00
$-12.09
- YES
Will the Indiana Pacers win the 2026 NBA Finals?
10102 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$0.00
$-10.10
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,800 on November 12?
4047 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 12, 2025$0.00
$-4.05
- NO
Will Club Tijuana vs. CF Monterrey end in a draw?
3380 shares @ 74.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 6, 2025$0.00
$-2.5K
- YES
Will Levante UD vs. Real Madrid end in a draw?
20 shares @ 15.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 23, 2025$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?
5 shares @ 36.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 10, 2025$0.00
$-1.80
- YES
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 by December 31, 2025?
5 shares @ 29.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.45
Recent activity
- REWARD$1.13May 20, 00:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Indiana Pacers win the 2026 NBA Finals?$10.10Mar 2, 05:26 UTC
- REWARD$1.10Dec 10, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 0-19 tweets from December 2 to December 9, 2025?$12.09Dec 9, 03:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $3,800 on November 12?$4.05Nov 12, 10:56 UTC
- REDEEMBruins vs. Senators$2.4KOct 28, 07:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYBruins vs. Senators$1.5KOct 27, 03:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Club Tijuana vs. CF Monterrey end in a draw?$2.4KOct 6, 02:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Club Tijuana vs. CF Monterrey end in a draw?$141.34Oct 6, 02:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Levante UD vs. Real Madrid end in a draw?$3.00Sep 23, 07:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?$1.65Aug 25, 11:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?$1.80Jul 19, 06:20 UTC
- REDEEMArsenal wins the Premier League?$0.00Jun 23, 05:49 UTC
- REDEEMBruins vs. Golden Knights$0.00Jun 23, 05:49 UTC
- REDEEMWill West Ham vs. Brentford end in a draw?$0.00Jun 23, 05:49 UTC
- REDEEMWill Paris Saint-Germain win the UEFA Champions League?$5.00Jun 23, 05:49 UTC
- REDEEMWhite Sox vs. Blue Jays$10.0KJun 23, 05:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWhite Sox vs. Blue Jays$3.4KJun 22, 07:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $70,000 by December 31, 2025?$1.45May 25, 22:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Paris Saint-Germain win the UEFA Champions League?$1.33Apr 28, 12:35 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 35
- Avg trade size
- $623.95
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Aug 3, 02:36 UTC
- Last active
- May 20, 00:25 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".