0xfed7306ec428c6ac3704ea8c538ab57d56db1ead
0xfed7306ec428c6ac3704ea8c538ab57d56db1ead
Wallet digest
Activity score
72/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
200
Open notional
$193.74
Total PnL
$-1.3K
Realised
$-31.59
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- NO
Will Erin Stewart win the 2026 Connecticut Governor Republican primary election?
61 shares @ 43.0¢·now 98.1¢·exp Aug 11, 2026$60.17
$33.80
- YES
Will 2026 be the hottest year on record?
49 shares @ 18.0¢·now 44.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$21.47
$12.69
- NO
Will JB Bickerstaff win the 2025–2026 NBA Coach of the Year?
21 shares @ 42.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$21.17
$12.28
- YES
No listed company closes Warner Bros acquisition by June 30, 2027
50 shares @ 18.0¢·now 34.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$17.09
$8.17
- YES
Will the Republican Party hold fewer than 22 governorships after the 2026 midterm elections?
71 shares @ 11.0¢·now 18.0¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$12.81
$4.98
- YES
Will Angie Craig be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Minnesota?
51 shares @ 17.0¢·now 19.5¢·exp Aug 11, 2026$9.97
$1.28
- NO
Will Dan Whitfield be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Arkansas?
9 shares @ 94.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 3, 2026$9.09
$0.49
- NO
Will the Democrats win the Connecticut governor race in 2026?
134 shares @ 7.0¢·now 6.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$8.69
$-0.67
- UP
Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 23, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET
8 shares @ 88.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 24, 2026$8.33
$1.00
- NO
Will the Democrats win the Delaware Senate race in 2026?
145 shares @ 9.0¢·now 5.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$7.97
$-5.07
Recent activity
- REDEEMDogecoin Up or Down - July 28, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET$0.00Jul 29, 00:00 UTC
- REDEEMDogecoin Up or Down - July 28, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET$0.00Jul 28, 23:49 UTC
- REDEEMDogecoin Up or Down - July 28, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET$4.76Jul 28, 23:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYDogecoin Up or Down - July 28, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET$4.04Jul 28, 23:21 UTC
- REDEEMDogecoin Up or Down - July 28, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET$0.00Jul 28, 21:59 UTC
- REDEEMDogecoin Up or Down - July 28, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET$0.00Jul 28, 21:49 UTC
- REDEEMDogecoin Up or Down - July 28, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET$4.71Jul 28, 21:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYDogecoin Up or Down - July 28, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET$4.04Jul 28, 21:22 UTC
- REDEEMSolana Up or Down - July 28, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET$4.88Jul 28, 19:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - July 28, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET$4.05Jul 28, 19:30 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - July 28, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET$9.58Jul 28, 08:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - July 28, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET$4.04Jul 28, 08:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - July 28, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET$4.04Jul 28, 08:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - July 28, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET$4.05Jul 28, 08:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - July 28, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET$3.90Jul 28, 08:17 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - July 28, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET$4.88Jul 28, 08:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - July 28, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET$4.05Jul 28, 07:57 UTC
- REDEEMSolana Up or Down - July 28, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET$5.48Jul 28, 07:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - July 28, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET$4.08Jul 28, 07:21 UTC
- REDEEMSolana Up or Down - July 28, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET$4.88Jul 28, 05:08 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 2 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
25 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 53/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 25
- Avg trade size
- $3.88
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 24, 07:48 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 29, 00:00 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.