Likely-Pilot
0xfee74ea5dff3409bb39e857017d8e5aa2c355594
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
58
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-90.36
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 58- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on March 1?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 1, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - March 3, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET
641 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 3, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
GPT-5.3 released by March 8, 2026?
333 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 8, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will James Talarico receive the most votes in the first round of the Democratic Senate primary in Texas?
333 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 3, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Jasmine Crockett receive the most votes in the first round of the Democratic Senate primary in Texas?
200 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 3, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will Israel strike Greater Beirut on March 5, 2026?
125 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET
114 shares @ 1.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 1, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - March 3, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET
100 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 3, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET
100 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 1, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET
100 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 3, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?$49.95Mar 31, 00:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYDogecoin Up or Down - March 30, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET$5.00Mar 30, 05:41 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET$5.39Mar 30, 05:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET$4.29Mar 30, 05:37 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET$12.13Mar 30, 05:31 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bank of America or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?$2.09Mar 30, 05:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET$10.00Mar 30, 05:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - March 30, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET$1.00Mar 30, 05:26 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bank of America or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?$10.74Mar 30, 05:25 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - March 2, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET$0.00Mar 30, 02:28 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET$0.00Mar 5, 04:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Ayatollah" or "Khamenei" this week? (March 8)$10.00Mar 5, 03:45 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET$7.37Mar 5, 03:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel strike Greater Beirut on March 5, 2026?$1.00Mar 5, 03:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - March 4, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET$1.00Mar 5, 03:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET$5.00Mar 5, 03:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET$1.00Mar 5, 03:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET$1.00Mar 5, 03:24 UTC
- TRADESELLEthereum Up or Down - March 4, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET$0.93Mar 5, 03:24 UTC
- TRADESELLXRP Up or Down - March 4, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET$0.98Mar 5, 03:23 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 44
- Avg trade size
- $3.65
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 4, 04:22 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 31, 00:56 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".