Winding-Nick
0xfefd0b490e49f1f9bb3d8f270bd67d3b9b2e1ee2
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
11
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-198.79
Realised
$1.71
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 11- NO
Will Israel strike Lebanon on January 30, 2026?
1756 shares @ 6.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-120.00
- NO
Will J.D. Vance say "Biden Administration" 4+ times in Ohio on Thursday?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 22, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be less than $2,900 on January 24?
197 shares @ 9.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 24, 2026$0.00
$-19.47
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,800 and $2,900 on January 23?
95 shares @ 22.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 23, 2026$0.00
$-21.00
- YES
Will the total domestic gross for Avatar: Fire and Ash be between 400m and 440m by January 31?
67 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
U.S. strike on Somalia by January 31?
29 shares @ 28.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-8.00
- YES
Trump x Greenland deal signed by January 31?
18 shares @ 4.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-0.79
- DOWN
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on January 26?
17 shares @ 76.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 26, 2026$0.00
$-12.84
- NO
Will Trump denaturalize any citizen by June 30?
17 shares @ 18.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 7°C on January 26?
14 shares @ 71.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 26, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Israel strike Lebanon on January 30, 2026?$120.00Jan 30, 12:22 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Israel strike Lebanon on January 30, 2026?$85.20Jan 30, 12:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel strike Lebanon on January 30, 2026?$150.00Jan 30, 12:20 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Israel strike Lebanon on January 30, 2026?$185.70Jan 30, 12:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel strike Lebanon on January 30, 2026?$119.19Jan 29, 13:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Israel strike Lebanon on January 28, 2026?$25.29Jan 29, 13:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel strike Lebanon on January 28, 2026?$20.00Jan 29, 13:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Israel strike Gaza on January 28, 2026?$113.16Jan 29, 12:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel strike Gaza on January 28, 2026?$115.00Jan 28, 20:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS government shutdown Saturday?$3.40Jan 28, 19:51 UTC
- TRADESELLWill "Frankenstein" win exactly 2 awards at the Oscars?$3.40Jan 28, 19:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYS&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on January 26?$12.84Jan 26, 12:28 UTC
- TRADESELLWill US or Israel strike Iran by December 31, 2026?$12.71Jan 26, 12:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 7°C on January 26?$10.00Jan 26, 12:19 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Aston Villa win the 2025–26 English Premier League?$10.13Jan 26, 12:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be less than $2,900 on January 24?$19.47Jan 23, 20:18 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Janez Janša be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?$19.39Jan 23, 20:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Frankenstein" win exactly 2 awards at the Oscars?$3.40Jan 23, 07:48 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Israel strike Gaza on January 22, 2026?$2.86Jan 23, 02:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,800 and $2,900 on January 23?$21.00Jan 22, 21:12 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 32
- Avg trade size
- $38.66
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 21, 20:57 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 30, 12:22 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".