Wasteful-Fanlight
0xfefd398a64dc3f70cfcf200c54f6e1b93ed8cafe
Wallet digest
Activity score
85/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
7
Open notional
$59.3K
Total PnL
$3.3K
Realised
$-85.68
Win rate
67%
3 closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Trump out as President by June 30?
21119 shares @ 98.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$21.1K
$274.56
- NO
Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?
17045 shares @ 98.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$17.0K
$255.64
- NO
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?
8242 shares @ 89.7¢·now 91.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$7.5K
$145.83
- NO
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
15651 shares @ 28.0¢·now 42.5¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$6.7K
$2.3K
- NO
Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026?
4496 shares @ 91.0¢·now 94.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$4.2K
$157.36
- NO
Trump out as President before 2027?
1500 shares @ 86.0¢·now 92.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.4K
$97.50
- NO
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?
1360 shares @ 79.4¢·now 95.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.3K
$219.20
Recent activity
- YIELD$1.05Jul 29, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$1.05Jul 28, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$1.05Jul 27, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$1.05Jul 26, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$1.05Jul 25, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$1.05Jul 24, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$1.05Jul 23, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$1.05Jul 22, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$1.05Jul 21, 20:08 UTC
- YIELD$1.05Jul 21, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$1.04Jul 19, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$1.04Jul 18, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$1.04Jul 17, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$1.04Jul 16, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$1.04Jul 15, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$1.04Jul 14, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$1.05Jul 13, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$1.05Jul 12, 00:18 UTC
- YIELD$1.05Jul 11, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$1.05Jul 10, 00:14 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
16/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
67% win rate over 3 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
No live wallet activity or persistent ledger trades are available.
3 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 0
- Avg trade size
- $0.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 10, 00:15 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 29, 00:10 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.