Immense-Happening
0xfeff560455322289c01af19561de1d6245c2711b
Wallet digest
Activity score
47/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
4
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-3.0K
Realised
$-9.70
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
6387 shares @ 29.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-1.9K
- YES
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?
4358 shares @ 24.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.1K
- YES
US strikes Iran by February 9, 2026?
2205 shares @ 1.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-41.89
- YES
Evidence Epstein blackmailed politicians released by Feb 28?
938 shares @ 5.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-48.41
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by June 30?$1.9KMar 16, 21:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by March 31?$339.00Mar 3, 23:04 UTC
- TRADESELLWill anyone be charged over Epstein disclosures?$339.17Mar 3, 23:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by March 31?$729.35Feb 28, 18:22 UTC
- TRADESELLKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?$729.35Feb 28, 18:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?$578.75Feb 28, 17:50 UTC
- TRADESELLKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?$315.24Feb 28, 17:46 UTC
- TRADESELLKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?$113.76Feb 28, 17:43 UTC
- TRADESELLKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?$149.75Feb 28, 17:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?$408.51Feb 28, 15:21 UTC
- TRADESELLWill anyone be jailed over Epstein disclosures? $408.51Feb 28, 15:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by February 9, 2026?$41.89Feb 9, 23:51 UTC
- TRADESELLEvidence Epstein blackmailed politicians released by Feb 28?$41.90Feb 9, 23:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill anyone be jailed over Epstein disclosures? $471.90Feb 4, 18:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill anyone be charged over Epstein disclosures?$425.00Feb 4, 18:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYEvidence Epstein blackmailed politicians released by Feb 28?$100.00Feb 4, 17:59 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 1 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
16 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 61/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 16
- Avg trade size
- $440.28
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 4, 17:59 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 16, 21:57 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.