Will anyone be charged over Epstein disclosures?
Probability
25¢
1h
+0.0pp
24h
+0.0pp
24h Vol
$84.02
Liquidity
$23.9K
Probability (last 7 days)
+0.0pp 7dWhy did it move?
Heuristic summary, generated from the public market metrics above: probability movement, volume, liquidity, spread, signals, and resolution status.
Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves
- 0s agoResolveLOW
Market resolves in 5995.5h
- 04:30SignalLOW
Signal · Resolution risk
Expires in 5995h with open resolution ambiguity.
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
Related Markets
6- 23¢-32.0pp
Spurs vs. Trail Blazers
Other · Vol $6.7M
- 2¢-1.6pp
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
Other · Vol $2.1M
- 13¢-42.0pp
Oilers vs. Ducks
Other · Vol $767.6K
- 0¢-50.4pp
Golden Knights vs. Utah
Other · Vol $753.5K
- 11¢-38.5pp
Spread: Spurs (-2.5)
Other · Vol $698.9K
- 0¢-54.4pp
Detroit Tigers vs. Cincinnati Reds
Other · Vol $528.3K
Market Description
This market will resolve to “Yes” if, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, any Federal or State jurisdiction of the United States formally charges or otherwise announces a criminal indictment of any individual, and the cause of that charge or indictment is attributed to information contained in files related to Jeffrey Epstein released by the federal government on or after December 19, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A qualifying charge or indictment must be caused by information included in Epstein-related files released on or after December 19, 2025. The cause of the charge or indictment may be established through official charging documents, official information from law enforcement authorities, relevant legal entities, or the US federal government, or through a clear consensus of credible reporting attributing the charge/indictment to information contained in those released files. Charges or indictments driven by information that was publicly known before December 19, 2025, or by reasons unrelated to the content of the released Epstein-related files, will not qualify. For the purposes of this market the District of Columbia and any county, municipality, or other subdivision of a State shall be included within the definition of a State. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from US governmental sources, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Resolution & Risk
LOW risk- End date
- Dec 31, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- Not specified in metadata
- Market type
- Binary
- No obvious resolution-risk signals in metadata.
Alerts
In-app banners work now. Email / Telegram / Discord delivery lands when the backend alert dispatcher ships (needs RESEND_API_KEY + per-user webhook storage).
Top Holders
20 wallets- Moist-Entity10.3K
- Fearful-Congress5.2K
- Bleak-Full1.5K
- Unlined-Marshmallow1.3K
- Palatable-Argument1.3K