Hilarious-Meatloaf
0xff0e560edaef89b500600ac2f958f2a2921104ec
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
18
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-94.42
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 18- YES
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from November 14 to November 21, 2025?
800 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 21, 2025$0.00
$-4.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 215-239 tweets from April 11 to April 13, 2026?
713 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 13, 2026$0.00
$-1.43
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from May 23 to May 25, 2026?
667 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 25, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on March 22?
550 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 22, 2026$0.00
$-1.10
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from May 2 to May 4, 2026?
489 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 4, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Donald Trump post 180-199 Truth Social posts from April 10 to April 17, 2026?
475 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 17, 2026$0.00
$-0.95
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from April 20 to April 22, 2026?
475 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 22, 2026$0.00
$-0.95
- YES
Will the highest temperature in New York City be 58°F or higher on April 25?
348 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 25, 2026$0.00
$-1.05
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from September 16 to September 23, 2025?
333 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 23, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 13°C on April 26?
326 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 26, 2026$0.00
$-0.95
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?$14.61Jul 29, 20:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?$14.60Jul 17, 07:50 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on June 4?$56.06Jun 4, 18:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on June 4?$56.00Jun 4, 12:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be between $82,000 and $84,000 on June 2?$56.06Jun 2, 18:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $82,000 and $84,000 on June 2?$56.00Jun 1, 10:52 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?$56.06May 26, 21:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?$56.00May 24, 10:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from May 23 to May 25, 2026?$2.10May 24, 10:16 UTC
- REDEEMUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 22, 2026?$58.06May 23, 06:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 22, 2026?$58.00May 22, 10:59 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 20?$58.06May 20, 18:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 20?$58.00May 19, 11:34 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from May 11 to May 13, 2026?$58.06May 13, 18:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from May 11 to May 13, 2026?$58.00May 12, 11:41 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Drake officially release Iceman by May 8, 2026?$57.99May 12, 11:40 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 10?$1.00May 12, 11:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 10?$1.00May 10, 10:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Drake officially release Iceman by May 8, 2026?$58.00May 7, 11:13 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?$58.06May 7, 11:13 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
29 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 53/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 29
- Avg trade size
- $35.77
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 31, 10:43 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 29, 20:03 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.