Optimistic-Trowel
0xff1443366413a04d7afd783c12cfff47c2b3c6ca
Wallet digest
Activity score
68/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
111
Open notional
$22.82
Total PnL
$-747.95
Realised
$19.63
Win rate
60%
30 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 111- YES
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
31 shares @ 48.0¢·now 45.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$14.22
$-0.78
- YES
Will any Category 4 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?
28 shares @ 36.0¢·now 31.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$8.60
$-1.40
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 27, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET
5031 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 27, 2026$0.00
$-50.31
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 27, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET
1000 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 28, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 15, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET
285 shares @ 4.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 15, 2026$0.00
$-12.99
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 19, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET
209 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 19, 2026$0.00
$-10.52
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 29, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET
137 shares @ 4.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 29, 2026$0.00
$-6.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET
125 shares @ 20.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 17, 2026$0.00
$-25.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET
125 shares @ 4.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 22, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 15, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET
89 shares @ 12.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 15, 2026$0.00
$-10.96
Recent activity
- TRADESELLGold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on June 4?$7.10Jun 4, 11:40 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 4, 00:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYGold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on June 4?$5.08Jun 3, 22:58 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 3, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 2, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 1, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 31, 00:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,850 in May?$28.80May 30, 03:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 30, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 29, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 28, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 27, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 26, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 25, 00:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?$32.89May 24, 15:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?$15.31May 23, 11:18 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET$1.63May 20, 05:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET$3.11May 20, 05:45 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET$5.70May 20, 05:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET$5.06May 20, 05:42 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 35
- Avg trade size
- $25.71
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 17, 09:50 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 4, 11:40 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 30 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".