Charming-Connotation
0xff1fcd88f79de8e377a041e650a67a84e936a6bf
Wallet digest
Activity score
79/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
18
Open notional
$138.19
Total PnL
$-2.27
Realised
$15.60
Win rate
33%
6 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 18- NO
Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30?
36 shares @ 55.0¢·now 89.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$32.22
$12.42
- YES
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House
67 shares @ 47.0¢·now 42.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$28.48
$-3.01
- YES
Netanyahu out by end of 2026?
40 shares @ 50.0¢·now 54.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$21.60
$1.60
- YES
AI bubble burst in 2026?
81 shares @ 24.5¢·now 20.8¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$16.89
$-2.96
- YES
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?
62 shares @ 16.0¢·now 12.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$7.75
$-2.17
- NO
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?
65 shares @ 24.0¢·now 9.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$6.18
$-9.43
- YES
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?
15 shares @ 25.2¢·now 32.8¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$4.92
$1.14
- YES
Will Trump be impeached by end of 2026?
62 shares @ 8.0¢·now 7.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$4.65
$-0.31
- YES
Will Tarcisio de Freitas win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
2500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.1¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$3.75
$-1.25
- YES
SCOTUS accepts sports event contract case by July 31, 2026?
41 shares @ 10.1¢·now 8.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$3.28
$-0.87
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.01Jun 14, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 13, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 12, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 11, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 10, 00:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill China blockade Taiwan by June 30?$0.82Jun 9, 11:05 UTC
- TRADESELLWill China blockade Taiwan by June 30?$0.11Jun 9, 10:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?$10.80Jun 9, 08:59 UTC
- TRADESELLWill China blockade Taiwan by June 30?$0.58Jun 9, 07:59 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 9, 00:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin hit $150k by June 30, 2026?$1.56Jun 8, 03:07 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 8, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 7, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 6, 00:13 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Databricks’ market cap be less than $100B at market close on IPO day?$0.57Jun 5, 16:27 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Databricks’ market cap be less than $100B at market close on IPO day?$0.09Jun 5, 13:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Databricks’ market cap be less than $100B at market close on IPO day?$1.00Jun 5, 09:58 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Databricks’ market cap be less than $100B at market close on IPO day?$0.00Jun 5, 05:44 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 5, 00:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Databricks’ market cap be less than $100B at market close on IPO day?$5.20Jun 4, 22:52 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 39
- Avg trade size
- $4.88
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 2, 10:02 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 14, 00:15 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 6 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.