Live-Laugh
0xff27cde38aaf12ff82bab8be2394b9a088366e66
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
22
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-217.36
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 22- YES
Gemini 3.0 Flash released by December 15?
4307 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-56.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $96,000 on December 12?
1090 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 12, 2025$0.00
$-3.27
- YES
Will Alibaba have the best AI model for coding at the end of 2025?
1000 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 10, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET
440 shares @ 3.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 10, 2025$0.00
$-17.07
- YES
Will Israel win Eurovision 2026?
397 shares @ 6.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$0.00
$-25.00
- OVER
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 4.5
250 shares @ 12.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 30, 2026$0.00
$-30.00
- YES
Israel strikes Iran before 2026?
155 shares @ 3.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Pope Leo XIV be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?
129 shares @ 3.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- NO
Iran strike on Qatar by February 28, 2026?
124 shares @ 16.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will Charlie Kirk be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?
118 shares @ 1.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYParis Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 4.5$30.79May 30, 14:49 UTC
- REDEEMWill Israel come in 2nd place at Eurovision 2026?$125.00May 17, 04:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel win Eurovision 2026?$26.17May 16, 13:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel come in 2nd place at Eurovision 2026?$26.00May 16, 13:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran strike on Qatar by February 28, 2026?$20.00Feb 28, 20:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 27, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET$2.00Jan 27, 22:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Manchester City FC vs. West Ham United FC end in a draw?$10.00Dec 20, 14:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYFC Bayern München vs. 1. FSV Mainz 05: O/U 1.5$5.00Dec 14, 16:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - December 14, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET$5.00Dec 14, 09:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYGemini 3.0 Flash released by December 15?$20.00Dec 14, 08:54 UTC
- REDEEMWill Arsenal FC vs. Wolverhampton Wanderers FC end in a draw?$0.00Dec 14, 07:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Arsenal FC vs. Wolverhampton Wanderers FC end in a draw?$7.00Dec 13, 21:41 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - December 13, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET$0.00Dec 13, 19:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - December 13, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET$1.00Dec 13, 18:44 UTC
- TRADESELLBurnley FC vs. Fulham FC: Both Teams to Score$49.50Dec 13, 17:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYBurnley FC vs. Fulham FC: Both Teams to Score$26.50Dec 13, 17:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $96,000 on December 12?$3.27Dec 12, 15:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill another person/thing be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?$4.40Dec 11, 06:49 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - December 10, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET$0.00Dec 10, 18:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - December 10, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET$8.25Dec 10, 18:32 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 40
- Avg trade size
- $8.93
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 4, 11:54 UTC
- Last active
- May 30, 14:49 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".