Live-Laugh
0xff27cde38aaf12ff82bab8be2394b9a088366e66
Wallet digest
Activity score
49/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
23
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-242.36
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 23- YES
Gemini 3.0 Flash released by December 15?
4307 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-56.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $96,000 on December 12?
1090 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 12, 2025$0.00
$-3.27
- YES
Will Alibaba have the best AI model for coding at the end of 2025?
1000 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
625 shares @ 4.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-25.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 10, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET
440 shares @ 3.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 10, 2025$0.00
$-17.07
- YES
Will Israel win Eurovision 2026?
397 shares @ 6.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$0.00
$-25.00
- OVER
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 4.5
250 shares @ 12.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 30, 2026$0.00
$-30.00
- YES
Israel strikes Iran before 2026?
155 shares @ 3.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Pope Leo XIV be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?
129 shares @ 3.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- NO
Iran strike on Qatar by February 28, 2026?
124 shares @ 16.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.00Jun 30, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 29, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 28, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 27, 00:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 26, 00:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 25, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 24, 00:18 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 23, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 22, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 21, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 20, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 19, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 18, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 17, 00:20 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 16, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 15, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 14, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 13, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 12, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 11, 00:14 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
24 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 49/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 24
- Avg trade size
- $12.07
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 10, 13:27 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 30, 00:16 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.