Shiny-Morphology
0xff457d34688ba9c23f48b7cde94ccbd4731bf168
Wallet digest
Activity score
68/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
24
Open notional
$60.89
Total PnL
$-224.33
Realised
$1.39
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 24- YES
Will Iran close its airspace by February 28, 2026?
40 shares @ 37.3¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$40.19
$25.19
- YES
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?
16 shares @ 6.3¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$15.87
$14.87
- YES
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?
5 shares @ 22.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$4.55
$3.55
- YES
OpenAI acquired before 2027?
4 shares @ 23.7¢·now 6.7¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.28
$-0.72
- YES
Will the US next strike Iran on February 18, 2026 (ET)?
1648 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on February 16?
1519 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 16, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- UP
XRP Up or Down - February 17, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET
255 shares @ 12.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 17, 2026$0.00
$-31.47
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 12AM ET
220 shares @ 2.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 17, 2026$0.00
$-6.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET
209 shares @ 1.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 15, 2026$0.00
$-4.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET
192 shares @ 44.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 17, 2026$0.00
$-85.62
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Iran close its airspace by February 28, 2026?$5.00Feb 22, 01:02 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Israel strike Gaza on February 19, 2026?$1.39Feb 20, 06:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Apple reach $316 in February?$1.00Feb 19, 01:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Apple reach $336 in February?$1.00Feb 19, 01:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYOpenAI acquired before 2027?$1.00Feb 19, 01:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?$1.00Feb 19, 01:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran close its airspace by February 28, 2026?$5.00Feb 19, 00:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran close its airspace by February 28, 2026?$5.00Feb 19, 00:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel strike Gaza on February 19, 2026?$1.00Feb 19, 00:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US strike Somalia next?$1.00Feb 19, 00:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US next strike Iran on February 19, 2026 (ET)?$1.00Feb 19, 00:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?$1.00Feb 19, 00:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?$1.00Feb 19, 00:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by February 28, 2026?$1.00Feb 19, 00:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US next strike Iran on February 18, 2026 (ET)?$10.00Feb 19, 00:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel strike Gaza on February 18, 2026?$32.06Feb 18, 01:47 UTC
- REDEEMWill Israel strike Gaza on February 17, 2026?$30.34Feb 18, 01:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET$5.00Feb 17, 06:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel strike Gaza on February 17, 2026?$5.00Feb 17, 06:04 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET$11.72Feb 17, 06:00 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 43
- Avg trade size
- $7.71
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 16, 17:20 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 22, 01:02 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.