OpenAI acquired before 2027?
Probability
11¢
1h
+0.0pp
24h
+1.1pp
24h Vol
$0.00
Liquidity
$1.6K
Probability (last 7 days)
+3.4pp 7dWhy did it move?
Heuristic summary, generated from the public market metrics above: probability movement, volume, liquidity, spread, signals, and resolution status.
Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves
- 0s agoResolveLOW
Market resolves in 5993.8h
- 06:13SignalLOW
Signal · Resolution risk
Expires in 5994h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 3.1pp
to 10¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 3.5pp
to 11¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 3.2pp
to 10¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 3.5pp
to 10¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 4.5pp
to 11¢
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
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Market Description
This market will resolve to “Yes” if credible reporting confirms that any entity enters into an agreement to acquire OpenAI (or the nonprofit that controls OpenAI) by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Mergers where OpenAI is subsumed by another entity will count toward a "Yes" resolution. An announced agreement between OpenAI and an acquiring entity will qualify for a “Yes” resolution, regardless of whether the acquisition is ultimately completed. The primary resolution source for this market is official information from Sam Altman and/or OpenAI however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Resolution & Risk
LOW risk- End date
- Dec 31, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- Not specified in metadata
- Market type
- Binary
- Wide spread (15.7¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Alerts
In-app banners work now. Email / Telegram / Discord delivery lands when the backend alert dispatcher ships (needs RESEND_API_KEY + per-user webhook storage).