Sizzling-Armrest
0xff6505d7bc8c83a46cab4e6dd3653615c1e9e979
Wallet digest
Activity score
43/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
58
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-142.25
Realised
$26.93
Win rate
33%
6 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 58- YES
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from February 20 to February 27, 2026?
1288 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 27, 2026$0.00
$-4.00
- YES
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?
833 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 18, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from February 20 to February 27, 2026?
500 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 27, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from March 6 to March 13, 2026?
470 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 13, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Military action against Iran ends on March 17, 2026?
430 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from February 20 to February 27, 2026?
429 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 27, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Military action against Iran ends on March 18, 2026?
335 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Military action against Iran ends on March 19, 2026?
324 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- UP
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on February 27?
300 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 27, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Military action against Iran ends on March 20, 2026?
286 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYIsrael strike on Yemen by April 30, 2026?$3.00Apr 27, 08:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET$1.00Apr 8, 12:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 7th?$1.00Apr 8, 05:13 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Germany strike Iran by April 30?$0.88Apr 8, 05:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Iran strike Burj Khalifa by April 30?$4.14Apr 7, 20:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran strike Burj Khalifa by April 30?$5.00Apr 7, 13:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYMilitary action against Iran ends on April 15, 2026?$1.00Apr 7, 13:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYMilitary action against Iran ends on April 14, 2026?$1.00Apr 7, 13:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYMilitary action against Iran ends on April 13, 2026?$1.00Apr 7, 13:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYMilitary action against Iran ends on April 21, 2026?$1.00Apr 7, 13:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYMilitary action against Iran ends on April 18, 2026?$1.00Apr 7, 13:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYMilitary action against Iran ends on April 12, 2026?$1.00Apr 7, 13:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYMilitary action against Iran ends on April 11, 2026?$1.00Apr 7, 13:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Germany strike Iran by April 30?$1.00Apr 7, 13:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be between 20 and 30 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on March 31?$1.00Mar 27, 19:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be between 40 and 50 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on March 31?$1.00Mar 27, 19:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Germany strike Iran by March 31?$1.00Mar 27, 19:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill any E.U. country strike Iran by March 31?$5.00Mar 27, 19:47 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Israel win Eurovision 2026?$8.44Mar 27, 19:42 UTC
- TRADESELLKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by March 31?$11.67Mar 27, 19:42 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $3.64
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 10, 10:29 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 27, 08:31 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 6 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.