Sad-Ashtray
0xff6cbfb663a7109cf07cf5d04fac4a3e949b8ee8
Wallet digest
Activity score
68/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
23
Open notional
$91.48
Total PnL
$-28.62
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 23- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,900 and $2,000 on June 14?
32 shares @ 99.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 14, 2026$32.05
$0.05
- NO
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
33 shares @ 50.0¢·now 76.8¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$25.33
$8.83
- YES
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
33 shares @ 50.0¢·now 23.3¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$7.67
$-8.83
- YES
Will Germany win on 2026-06-14?
6 shares @ 94.2¢·now 94.5¢·exp Jun 14, 2026$6.02
$0.02
- NATUS VINCERE
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3
11 shares @ 57.0¢·now 56.5¢·exp Jun 14, 2026$5.95
$-0.05
- YES
Will Spain win on 2026-06-15?
7 shares @ 91.0¢·now 89.5¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$5.90
$-0.10
- YES
Extended FDV above $150M one day after launch?
4 shares @ 83.0¢·now 75.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$2.71
$-0.29
- YES
Ink FDV above $500M one day after launch?
4 shares @ 57.0¢·now 56.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$1.96
$-0.04
- YES
Base FDV above $12B one day after launch?
7 shares @ 30.0¢·now 25.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$1.67
$-0.33
- YES
Opensea FDV above $1B one day after launch?
6 shares @ 77.0¢·now 21.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$1.26
$-3.24
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYCounter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3$6.08Jun 14, 13:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Spain win on 2026-06-15?$6.02Jun 14, 13:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Germany win on 2026-06-14?$6.01Jun 14, 13:38 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 14, 00:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill Qatar vs. Switzerland end in a draw?$7.69Jun 13, 23:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Brazil win on 2026-06-13?$6.07Jun 13, 18:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Qatar vs. Switzerland end in a draw?$1.03Jun 13, 18:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $1,900 and $2,000 on June 14?$32.00Jun 13, 18:26 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be between $1,800 and $1,900 on June 13?$32.13Jun 13, 18:03 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 13, 00:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $1,800 and $1,900 on June 13?$32.01Jun 12, 20:09 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on June 12?$37.19Jun 12, 18:04 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 12, 00:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill Mexico win on 2026-06-11?$2.86Jun 11, 23:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on June 12?$37.01Jun 11, 19:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on June 11?$41.04Jun 11, 18:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mexico win on 2026-06-11?$2.02Jun 11, 15:45 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 11, 00:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on June 11?$41.00Jun 10, 18:41 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,000 and $2,100 on June 10?$41.04Jun 10, 18:19 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 19
- Avg trade size
- $26.59
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 31, 00:11 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 14, 13:40 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.