Remarkable-Gammaray
0xff822f2a35494e87f49e8f9f50f8e78cdae2bd3c
Wallet digest
Activity score
62/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
88
Open notional
$24.42
Total PnL
$-394.62
Realised
$-5.15
Win rate
44%
9 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 88- YES
Will Pete Fry win the 2026 Vancouver mayoral election?
29 shares @ 11.5¢·now 36.9¢·exp Oct 17, 2026$10.57
$7.27
- YES
Will John Coupar win the 2026 Vancouver mayoral election?
75 shares @ 1.3¢·now 4.5¢·exp Oct 17, 2026$3.34
$2.34
- YES
Will Sean Orr win the 2026 Vancouver mayoral election?
144 shares @ 0.7¢·now 1.6¢·exp Oct 17, 2026$2.30
$1.30
- YES
Will Colleen Hardwick win the 2026 Vancouver mayoral election?
127 shares @ 0.8¢·now 1.8¢·exp Oct 17, 2026$2.29
$1.29
- YES
Will William Azaroff win the 2026 Vancouver mayoral election?
23 shares @ 4.3¢·now 6.9¢·exp Oct 17, 2026$1.60
$0.60
- YES
Will Fred Harding win the 2026 Vancouver mayoral election?
140 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.9¢·exp Oct 17, 2026$1.33
$0.33
- YES
Will Tim Louis win the 2026 Vancouver mayoral election?
333 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.3¢·exp Oct 17, 2026$0.83
$-0.17
- YES
Will Rebecca Bligh win the 2026 Vancouver mayoral election?
136 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.5¢·exp Oct 17, 2026$0.75
$-0.25
- YES
Will Kirk LaPointe win the 2026 Vancouver mayoral election?
35 shares @ 2.8¢·now 2.1¢·exp Oct 17, 2026$0.74
$-0.26
- YES
Will Amanda Burrows win the 2026 Vancouver mayoral election?
167 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.4¢·exp Oct 17, 2026$0.67
$-0.33
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on July 21?$50.00Jul 21, 15:24 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ken Sim win the 2026 Vancouver mayoral election?$4.77Jul 21, 07:29 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Kareem Allam win the 2026 Vancouver mayoral election?$3.24Jul 21, 07:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on July 21?$43.78Jul 21, 07:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Oleksandr Syrskyi be out as Ukraine's Commander-in-Chief by December 31, 2026?$0.64Jul 20, 12:33 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Oleksandr Syrskyi be out as Ukraine's Commander-in-Chief by July 31, 2026?$3.99Jul 20, 12:33 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on July 19?$5.00Jul 20, 05:57 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 80-81°F on July 19?$10.00Jul 20, 05:19 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in London be 21°C on July 19?$10.00Jul 19, 23:47 UTC
- TRADESELLExact Score: Spain 3 - 3 Argentina?$0.79Jul 19, 19:39 UTC
- TRADESELLExact Score: Spain 2 - 3 Argentina?$1.80Jul 19, 19:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Spain 3 - 3 Argentina?$3.15Jul 19, 18:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Spain 2 - 3 Argentina?$3.14Jul 19, 18:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Argentina win on 2026-07-19?$27.22Jul 19, 18:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 80-81°F on July 19?$1.73Jul 19, 16:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 80-81°F on July 19?$0.96Jul 19, 16:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on July 19?$1.04Jul 19, 16:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 80-81°F on July 19?$3.61Jul 19, 16:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 21°C on July 19?$1.80Jul 19, 16:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 21°C on July 19?$7.20Jul 19, 16:00 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
26/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
44% win rate over 9 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
45 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 59/100.
9 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 45
- Avg trade size
- $9.57
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 11, 03:58 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 21, 15:24 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 9 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.