Good-Phrasing
0xff8739c7521e9d27d75e57321cbabab068bbdaf0
Wallet digest
Activity score
49/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
198
Open notional
$1.14
Total PnL
$-1.3K
Realised
$17.26
Win rate
65%
26 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 198- YES
Brian Armstrong out as Coinbase CEO before 2027?
8 shares @ 13.0¢·now 6.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.50
$-0.50
- YES
Will $2.50 Coin become law this year?
4 shares @ 60.0¢·now 12.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.50
$-2.00
- YES
Will Trump Airport become law this year?
2 shares @ 60.0¢·now 8.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.14
$-0.86
- YES
Will Saudi Arabia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
2167 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-6.00
- YES
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
1541 shares @ 13.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-210.00
- YES
Will New Zealand win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
1500 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-4.00
- YES
Will Netherlands win the second most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 22, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Italy win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
1000 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will Jordan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
1000 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will Player 152 win Beast Games: Season 2?
719 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 25, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.01Jul 17, 00:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$18.07Jul 16, 10:58 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$101.75Jul 16, 10:58 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Jul 16, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Jul 15, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Jul 14, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Jul 13, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jul 12, 00:18 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jul 11, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jul 10, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jul 9, 00:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jul 8, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jul 7, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 6, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 5, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 4, 00:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 3, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 2, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 1, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jun 30, 00:18 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
49/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
65% win rate over 26 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
2 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 45/100.
26 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 2
- Avg trade size
- $59.91
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 31, 00:11 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 17, 00:15 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 26 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.