Will Trump Airport become law this year?
Probability
9¢
1h
-0.1pp
24h
-0.4pp
24h Vol
$0.00
Liquidity
$432.78
Probability (last 7 days)
-3.3pp 7dWhy did it move?
Heuristic summary, generated from the public market metrics above: probability movement, volume, liquidity, spread, signals, and resolution status.
Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves
- 0s agoResolveLOW
Market resolves in 5996.9h
- 03:03SignalLOW
Signal · Resolution risk
Expires in 5997h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -10.8pp
to 10¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -8.4pp
to 10¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -7.7pp
to 10¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -12.8pp
to 9¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.7pp
to 9¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -13.0pp
to 9¢
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
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Market Description
This market will resolve to "Yes" if legislation that renames Washington Dulles International Airport after Donald Trump is passed by both chambers of the U.S. Congress and signed into law by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Qualifying legislation includes H.R. 691 (119th). Qualifying legislation may include joint resolutions and must pass both the House and the Senate, and must be signed by the President, become law without signature while Congress remains in session, or become law through veto override. Presidential pocket vetoes that expire resolve to "No". The primary resolution sources for this market will be Congress.gov’s legislation tracker (https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/house-bill/22), the Library of Congress (congress.gov), and other official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolution & Risk
LOW risk- End date
- Dec 31, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- Not specified in metadata
- Market type
- Binary
- Wide spread (15.2¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Alerts
In-app banners work now. Email / Telegram / Discord delivery lands when the backend alert dispatcher ships (needs RESEND_API_KEY + per-user webhook storage).