Grown-Progress
0xff99dd764acb17d695950ccb55c5dcadc211e40d
Wallet digest
Activity score
65/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
49
Open notional
$28.06
Total PnL
$-73.91
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 49- YES
Will Michigan win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?
5 shares @ 19.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 4, 2026$5.26
$4.26
- NO
Trump's face on US gold coin by July 4?
3 shares @ 31.0¢·now 87.5¢·exp Jul 4, 2026$2.82
$1.82
- NO
Will Trump say "Ethanol" this week? (March 29)
2 shares @ 52.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 29, 2026$1.92
$0.92
- NO
Will Mercedes be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?
12 shares @ 41.0¢·now 15.0¢·exp Dec 6, 2026$1.83
$-3.17
- NO
Will Elon Musk post 1400+ tweets in March 2026?
2 shares @ 61.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 1, 2026$1.64
$0.64
- YES
Will Rumen Radev be the next prime minister of Bulgaria after the 2026 parliamentary election?
2 shares @ 64.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 19, 2026$1.56
$0.56
- NO
Over $10M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?
2 shares @ 64.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$1.54
$0.55
- NO
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?
2 shares @ 65.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$1.54
$0.54
- NO
X Money released by April 10, 2026?
1 shares @ 68.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$1.47
$0.47
- NO
Over $18M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?
1 shares @ 71.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$1.39
$0.40
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 1400+ tweets in March 2026?$4.00Mar 25, 23:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 1360-1399 tweets in March 2026?$5.00Mar 25, 23:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 1280-1319 tweets in April 2026?$5.00Mar 25, 23:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 1400-1439 tweets in April 2026?$10.00Mar 25, 23:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 1320-1359 tweets in April 2026?$10.00Mar 25, 23:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 1360-1399 tweets in April 2026?$10.00Mar 25, 23:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Zelenskyy post 80-99 posts from March 24 to March 31, 2026?$2.37Mar 25, 23:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from March 23 to March 25, 2026?$0.00Mar 25, 23:04 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from March 23 to March 25, 2026?$36.37Mar 25, 23:04 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Arizona advance to the Final Four?$0.87Mar 25, 13:49 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Zelenskyy post 60-79 posts from March 24 to March 31, 2026?$3.16Mar 25, 13:48 UTC
- TRADESELLWill an Iranian agent be charged in the US by April 30?$1.34Mar 25, 13:47 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ted Cruz post 80-99 posts from March 17 to March 24, 2026?$0.00Mar 25, 12:39 UTC
- REDEEMWill Venstre win 15-19 seats in the Danish Folketing in the 2026 Danish general election?$0.00Mar 25, 12:39 UTC
- REDEEMWill Liberal Alliance win 15-19 seats in the Danish Folketing in the 2026 Danish general election?$0.00Mar 25, 12:39 UTC
- REDEEMWill Victoria Mboko win the 2026 women's singles tournament at the Miami Open?$0.00Mar 25, 12:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from March 23 to March 25, 2026?$4.37Mar 25, 11:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from March 23 to March 25, 2026?$0.17Mar 25, 10:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from March 23 to March 25, 2026?$20.00Mar 25, 10:40 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from March 23 to March 25, 2026?$0.74Mar 25, 10:40 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 40
- Avg trade size
- $3.48
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 23, 12:39 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 25, 23:21 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.