Elderly-Reconsideration
0xffa0e6212edd5c10e58fafa076f52a2f89caaa4d
Wallet digest
Activity score
56/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
14
Open notional
$3.20
Total PnL
$-68.61
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 14- NO
Will Laurent Wauquiez win the 2027 French presidential election?
1 shares @ 99.3¢·now 99.3¢·exp Apr 30, 2027$1.14
$-0.00
- NO
Will Elon Musk post 215-239 tweets from April 27 to April 29, 2026?
1 shares @ 99.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 29, 2026$1.04
$0.00
- NO
Will Elise Stefanik win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
1 shares @ 99.4¢·now 99.3¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$1.02
$-0.00
- UNDER
Ducks vs. Sharks: O/U 4.5
116 shares @ 17.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 2, 2026$0.00
$-19.71
- OVER
Avalanche vs. Stars: O/U 4.5
15 shares @ 77.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 4, 2026$0.00
$-11.42
- OVER
Blackhawks vs. Oilers: O/U 4.5
15 shares @ 81.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 3, 2026$0.00
$-11.98
- OVER
Kraken vs. Oilers: O/U 4.5
13 shares @ 81.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 1, 2026$0.00
$-10.20
- UNDER
Blues vs. Ducks: O/U 6.5
9 shares @ 54.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 4, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- UNDER
Red Wings vs. Panthers: O/U 7.5
5 shares @ 71.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 15, 2026$0.00
$-3.56
- OVER
Lightning vs. Bruins: O/U 5.5
3 shares @ 56.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 11, 2026$0.00
$-1.53
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Laurent Wauquiez win the 2027 French presidential election?$1.14May 24, 23:28 UTC
- REDEEMWill Rick Reider be confirmed as Fed Chair?$1.01May 14, 00:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?$1.00May 5, 18:35 UTC
- REDEEMBab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by April 30?$1.34May 5, 16:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYBab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by April 30?$1.34May 2, 23:43 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 215-239 tweets from April 30 to May 2, 2026?$1.25May 2, 19:13 UTC
- REDEEMTrump out as President by April 30?$1.02May 1, 13:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 215-239 tweets from April 30 to May 2, 2026?$1.25Apr 30, 23:41 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?$1.00Apr 30, 00:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elise Stefanik win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$1.02Apr 29, 21:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the US officially declare war on Iran by April 30, 2026?$0.42Apr 29, 21:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?$1.00Apr 28, 16:11 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 215-239 tweets from April 25 to April 27, 2026?$1.40Apr 27, 21:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 215-239 tweets from April 27 to April 29, 2026?$1.04Apr 26, 20:54 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Fabien Roussel win the 2027 French presidential election?$1.50Apr 26, 20:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 215-239 tweets from April 25 to April 27, 2026?$1.40Apr 25, 23:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US officially declare war on Iran by April 30, 2026?$1.12Apr 24, 22:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Fabien Roussel win the 2027 French presidential election?$1.58Apr 23, 23:24 UTC
- REDEEMTrump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 21, 2026?$4.11Apr 22, 21:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump out as President by April 30?$1.02Apr 22, 21:44 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 32
- Avg trade size
- $2.10
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 3, 21:52 UTC
- Last active
- May 24, 23:28 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.