Expensive-Cake
0xffa211406985a869bf11e02f7ef3d1bd1dea72c1
Wallet digest
Activity score
66/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
13
Open notional
$44.32
Total PnL
$-29.67
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 13- YES
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?
16 shares @ 96.4¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$15.56
$0.56
- YES
Will the next Dutch government be VVD + CDA + D66?
14 shares @ 69.1¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$14.47
$4.47
- NO
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by March 31, 2026?
5 shares @ 91.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$5.49
$0.49
- NO
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by March 31, 2026?
5 shares @ 95.4¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 14, 2026$5.24
$0.24
- YES
Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
56 shares @ 18.0¢·now 6.4¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$3.56
$-6.44
- YES
Databricks IPO in 2025?
3247 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Discord IPO in 2025?
2000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
OpenAI IPO in 2025?
2000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
SpaceX (Space Exploration Technologies Corp.) IPO in 2025?
333 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Maduro out by January 31, 2026?
12 shares @ 82.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?$10.00Jan 19, 04:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?$15.00Jan 19, 04:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYJerome Powell out as Fed Chair by March 31, 2026?$5.00Jan 19, 04:40 UTC
- REDEEMMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin in 2025?$5.04Jan 8, 22:25 UTC
- REDEEMWill Max Verstappen leave Red Bull before 2026? $3.02Jan 2, 14:04 UTC
- REDEEMWill no US x Venezuela military engagement occur in 2025?$3.57Jan 2, 14:04 UTC
- REDEEMWill Netflix (NFLX) close above $0.00 end of December?$5.02Jan 2, 14:04 UTC
- REDEEMWill Netflix (NFLX) close above $20 end of December?$5.02Jan 2, 14:04 UTC
- REDEEMWill Google (GOOGL) close above $260 end of December?$6.11Jan 2, 14:04 UTC
- REDEEMWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?$6.17Jan 2, 14:04 UTC
- REDEEMWill NVIDIA (NVDA) hit $260 before 2026??$10.02Jan 2, 14:04 UTC
- REDEEMMaduro out in 2025?$10.75Jan 2, 14:04 UTC
- REDEEMWill Maduro's rule survive a US military engagement?$11.76Jan 2, 14:04 UTC
- REDEEMWill NVIDIA (NVDA) hit $200 before 2026??$22.83Jan 2, 14:04 UTC
- REDEEMWill Google have the top AI model on December 31?$1.12Jan 2, 14:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpaceX (Space Exploration Technologies Corp.) IPO in 2025?$1.00Dec 29, 09:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYDiscord IPO in 2025?$2.00Dec 29, 09:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYOpenAI IPO in 2025?$2.00Dec 29, 09:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYDatabricks IPO in 2025?$5.00Dec 29, 09:56 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - December 29, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET$1.29Dec 29, 09:54 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 29
- Avg trade size
- $6.48
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 14, 14:59 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 19, 04:41 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".