White-Sandal
0xffb0b9b292e406fd250854a35a0c9bd5612afa37
Wallet digest
Activity score
92/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
32
Open notional
$16.5K
Total PnL
$-192.53
Realised
$-256.78
Win rate
57%
7 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 32- NO
US announces end of Iranian blockade by July 31, 2026?
2683 shares @ 77.5¢·now 99.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$2.7K
$589.49
- NO
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?
2234 shares @ 58.3¢·now 77.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.7K
$429.81
- NO
Iran invades Kuwait by August 31?
1692 shares @ 91.4¢·now 96.5¢·exp Aug 31, 2026$1.6K
$86.71
- YES
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31?
3180 shares @ 63.2¢·now 49.0¢·exp Aug 31, 2026$1.6K
$-453.13
- NO
Will Russia enter Sumy by December 31, 2026?
1255 shares @ 58.2¢·now 94.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.2K
$455.40
- NO
Will Russia enter Kramatorsk by December 31, 2026?
1332 shares @ 82.4¢·now 82.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.1K
$-4.99
- NO
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?
1463 shares @ 47.3¢·now 66.0¢·exp Aug 31, 2026$965.25
$273.00
- YES
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14?
2289 shares @ 47.2¢·now 35.0¢·exp Aug 14, 2026$801.28
$-279.45
- NO
Will Russia enter Sloviansk by December 31, 2026?
858 shares @ 77.5¢·now 84.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$724.66
$59.78
- YES
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30?
798 shares @ 76.5¢·now 84.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$670.60
$60.07
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026?$16.74Aug 1, 00:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026?$5.02Aug 1, 00:38 UTC
- REWARD$7.96Aug 1, 00:00 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?$430.18Jul 31, 22:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026?$11.55Jul 31, 21:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026?$16.74Jul 31, 21:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026?$71.61Jul 31, 21:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026?$3.38Jul 31, 21:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026?$3.38Jul 31, 21:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026?$3.38Jul 31, 21:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026?$4.62Jul 31, 21:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026?$3.62Jul 31, 21:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026?$6.63Jul 31, 21:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026?$6.70Jul 31, 21:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026?$6.70Jul 31, 21:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026?$6.70Jul 31, 21:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026?$6.70Jul 31, 21:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026?$66.96Jul 31, 21:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026?$6.70Jul 31, 21:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026?$6.70Jul 31, 21:28 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
23/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
57% win rate over 7 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
47 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 59/100.
7 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $65.96
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 29, 23:13 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 1, 00:38 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 7 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.