Celebrated-Ape
0xffdb817f9d908734e7dbdc5c172f26178b9d411d
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
21
Open notional
$572.34
Total PnL
$-1.8K
Realised
$27.47
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 21- NO
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?
224 shares @ 62.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$223.78
$83.78
- NO
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?
133 shares @ 75.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 22, 2026$133.33
$33.33
- NO
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
130 shares @ 77.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$129.87
$29.87
- NO
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
297 shares @ 37.0¢·now 23.5¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$69.86
$-40.13
- NO
Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30?
21 shares @ 73.0¢·now 53.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$10.99
$-4.01
- YES
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
29 shares @ 17.3¢·now 15.6¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$4.49
$-0.51
- YES
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before July?
1369 shares @ 24.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$0.00
$-340.46
- YES
Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy before July?
916 shares @ 17.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$0.00
$-161.76
- YES
Israel x Hamas ceasefire before June?
635 shares @ 45.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2025$0.00
$-290.00
- YES
Will Trump meet with Putin in Saudi Arabia before June?
558 shares @ 7.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2025$0.00
$-39.06
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?$30.00Apr 17, 07:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?$100.00Apr 16, 05:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$100.00Apr 15, 18:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$10.00Apr 15, 18:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?$100.00Apr 15, 08:22 UTC
- REDEEMWill Iran strike UAE again in March?$89.60Apr 15, 08:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?$110.00Apr 15, 08:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?$10.00Apr 9, 17:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?$10.00Apr 9, 17:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?$90.00Apr 8, 00:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?$7.60Apr 8, 00:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?$50.00Apr 8, 00:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?$60.00Apr 8, 00:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran strike UAE again in March?$4.62Apr 4, 08:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran strike UAE again in March?$18.48Apr 4, 08:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran strike UAE again in March?$20.00Apr 2, 20:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran x Israel/US conflict ends by December 31?$30.00Apr 2, 19:55 UTC
- REDEEMKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by March 31?$20.00Apr 2, 01:20 UTC
- REDEEMWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?$37.70Apr 2, 01:20 UTC
- REDEEMWill Iran conduct a military action against Israel on March 31, 2026?$39.48Apr 2, 01:20 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 37
- Avg trade size
- $32.23
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 19, 18:38 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 17, 07:37 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".