Enormous-Sonata
0xffde18e32b31b15d9ff942d4d746409643aac68f
Wallet digest
Activity score
60/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
30
Open notional
$32.41
Total PnL
$-592.92
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 30- NO
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?
34 shares @ 89.7¢·now 95.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$32.41
$1.95
- NO
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?
101 shares @ 92.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 7, 2026$0.00
$-94.05
- ARGENTINA
Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance
100 shares @ 36.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 19, 2026$0.00
$-36.75
- DOWN
Solana Up or Down - April 8, 1PM ET
68 shares @ 43.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 8, 2026$0.00
$-29.22
- DOWN
XRP Up or Down - April 8, 1PM ET
64 shares @ 53.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 8, 2026$0.00
$-33.93
- DOWN
Solana Up or Down - April 8, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET
58 shares @ 41.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 8, 2026$0.00
$-23.60
- DOWN
XRP Up or Down - April 8, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET
56 shares @ 43.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 8, 2026$0.00
$-24.30
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 1PM ET
55 shares @ 35.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 8, 2026$0.00
$-19.42
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET
54 shares @ 39.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 8, 2026$0.00
$-21.03
- NO
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?
53 shares @ 74.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-38.98
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYSpain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance$36.75Jul 19, 21:35 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on April 21?$6.17Jul 19, 21:29 UTC
- REDEEMWill the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?$20.14Jul 19, 21:29 UTC
- REDEEMWill the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?$20.76Jul 19, 21:29 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on April 20?$21.23Jul 19, 21:29 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Iranian regime fall by May 31?$21.37Jul 19, 21:29 UTC
- REDEEMWill UAE strike Iran by April 30?$22.14Jul 19, 21:29 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on April 20?$22.51Jul 19, 21:29 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on April 20?$30.05Jul 19, 21:29 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Iranian regime fall by April 30?$31.96Jul 19, 21:29 UTC
- REDEEMWill a Claude Mythos model be released by April 30, 2026?$41.37Jul 19, 21:29 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in April?$56.95Jul 19, 21:29 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 10, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 9, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 8, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 7, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 6, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 5, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 4, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 3, 00:14 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
Wallet activity exists, but copy-risk is too high for interpretation.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 8
- Avg trade size
- $16.25
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 15, 20:07 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 19, 21:35 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.