Iran closes its airspace by June 30?UMA DISPUTED
High
Orrery — the verification layer for prediction markets
Today
5 things to verify
5 observations · 32 resolution risks
VERIFICATION QUEUERanked checks before you trust the price.
Full research queue Recommended next check
Start here: Open Detail and read the resolution source before acting1Will Thailand win on 2026-06-05?
UMA proposed — verify before treating moves as new info
Verify
2Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Resolves in 33h — verify the source
Verify
3Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in June?
Momentum observation
Momentum
4Roland Garros ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Alexander Zverev
Momentum observation
Momentum
5Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Resolves in 33h — verify the source
Verify
ACTIVE VERIFICATION TARGET
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?MIXED EVIDENCE
Active target: strongest divergence observationChart: 7D YES-token price history
Implied probability
53% 0.4pp
24h volume
$253.4K
Verification targetHistory unavailable
100%75%50%25%0%
Price history unavailable
WHY THIS IS ACTIVE
Orrery is prioritizing this market because price movement, volume, and evidence context make it worth checking before reading the price as information.
0.4pp24h move$253.4K24h volumeVerifysource and settlement path
EVIDENCE ACTIONS
All signals 1Open
Roland Garros ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Alexander ZverevQueue proof
24h Δ -19.7pp, 1h Δ -26.7pp · Turnover 26.0× liquidity
RESOLUTION RISK
Open watch Will Thailand win on 2026-06-05?UMA PENDING
High
High
High
High
High
High
Will China PR win on 2026-06-05?UMA PENDING
High
High
Foggia: Chloe Paquet vs Darya AstakhovaUMA PENDING
High
High
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Medium
Medium
Medium
Medium
Medium
Medium
Medium
Medium
Medium
Medium
Medium
Medium
Medium
Medium
Medium
Medium
Medium
Medium
Showing 32 of 32 markets · refreshed nowHow risk is scored
RESEARCH QUEUE
Full research queue | Market | Score | Breakdown (Evidence / Liquidity / Spread / Res. Risk) | Next Step |
|---|---|---|---|
| 91 | 95/87 94/80 | Inspect timeline | |
| 85 | 95/75 80/80 | Inspect timeline | |
| 79 | 61/90 98/80 | Compare siblings | |
| 69 | 51/84 80/80 | Compare siblings | |
| 67 | 56/83 60/80 | Compare siblings |
Score = weighted composite of Evidence (40%), Liquidity (25%), Spread (20%), Resolution Confidence (15%).How we score markets
DAILY BRIEFJune 5, 2026
Read full brief - Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in June? probability up 34.0pp on $0.2M of 24h volume.
- Roland Garros ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Alexander Zverev shows a momentum pattern at 95% evidence — verify on the market.
- Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 5? resolves in 1h — verify the source before treating as research.
VERIFY (3)
IGNORE (0)
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