High
Orrery — the verification layer for prediction markets
Today
5 things to verify
3 observations · 32 resolution risks
VERIFICATION QUEUERanked checks before you trust the price.
Full research queue Recommended next check
Start here: Open Detail and read the resolution source before acting1Roland Garros ATP: Matteo Arnaldi vs Flavio Cobolli
UMA proposed — verify before treating moves as new info
Verify
2Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Resolves in 30h — verify the source
Verify
3Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Resolves in 30h — verify the source
Verify
4San Francisco Giants vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 10.5
Resolves in 1h — verify the source
Verify
5Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Aurora (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffs
Resolves in 2h — verify the source
Verify
ACTIVE VERIFICATION TARGET
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?HIGH EVIDENCE
Active target: strongest momentum observationChart: 7D YES-token price history
Implied probability
11% 4.0pp
24h volume
$1.4M
Verification target51% current50-61% 7D range-5.5pp net move
64%60%55%51%47%
51%
Jun 551%-5.5pp from start
Jun 4Jun 4Jun 4Jun 4Jun 5Jun 5Jun 5Jun 5
WHY THIS IS ACTIVE
Orrery is prioritizing this market because price movement, volume, and evidence context make it worth checking before reading the price as information.
4.0pp24h move$1.4M24h volumeVerifysource and settlement path
EVIDENCE ACTIONS
All signals 1Open
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Queue proof
24h Δ -4.0pp, 1h Δ -1.0pp · Turnover 2.1× liquidity
RESOLUTION RISK
Open watch Iran closes its airspace by June 30?UMA DISPUTED
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Showing 32 of 32 markets · refreshed nowHow risk is scored
RESEARCH QUEUE
Full research queue | Market | Score | Breakdown (Evidence / Liquidity / Spread / Res. Risk) | Next Step |
|---|---|---|---|
| 82 | 74/97 80/80 | Inspect timeline | |
| 69 | 51/84 80/80 | Compare siblings | |
| 69 | 51/84 80/80 | Compare siblings |
Score = weighted composite of Evidence (40%), Liquidity (25%), Spread (20%), Resolution Confidence (15%).How we score markets
DAILY BRIEFJune 5, 2026
Read full brief - Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in June? probability up 20.8pp on $0.2M of 24h volume.
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? shows a momentum pattern at 74% evidence — verify on the market.
- San Francisco Giants vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 10.5 resolves in 0h — verify the source before treating as research.
VERIFY (3)
IGNORE (0)
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